Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades

Satellite temperature measurements do not support the recent claim of a "leveling off of warming" over the past two decades. Tropospheric warming trends over recent 20-year periods are always significantly larger (at the 10% level or better) than model estimates of 20-year trends arising f...

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Main Authors: Santer, Benjamin D., Solomon, Susan, Wentz, Frank J., Fu, Qiang, Po-Chedley, Stephen, Mears, Carl, Painter, Jeffrey F., Bonfils, Céline
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Format: Article
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2018
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/113635
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2020-7581
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author Santer, Benjamin D.
Solomon, Susan
Wentz, Frank J.
Fu, Qiang
Po-Chedley, Stephen
Mears, Carl
Painter, Jeffrey F.
Bonfils, Céline
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Santer, Benjamin D.
Solomon, Susan
Wentz, Frank J.
Fu, Qiang
Po-Chedley, Stephen
Mears, Carl
Painter, Jeffrey F.
Bonfils, Céline
author_sort Santer, Benjamin D.
collection MIT
description Satellite temperature measurements do not support the recent claim of a "leveling off of warming" over the past two decades. Tropospheric warming trends over recent 20-year periods are always significantly larger (at the 10% level or better) than model estimates of 20-year trends arising from natural internal variability. Over the full 38-year period of the satellite record, the separation between observed warming and internal variability estimates is even clearer. In two out of three recent satellite datasets, the tropospheric warming from 1979 to 2016 is unprecedented relative to internally generated temperature trends on the 38-year timescale.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1136352022-09-30T19:33:10Z Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades Santer, Benjamin D. Solomon, Susan Wentz, Frank J. Fu, Qiang Po-Chedley, Stephen Mears, Carl Painter, Jeffrey F. Bonfils, Céline Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Solomon, Susan Satellite temperature measurements do not support the recent claim of a "leveling off of warming" over the past two decades. Tropospheric warming trends over recent 20-year periods are always significantly larger (at the 10% level or better) than model estimates of 20-year trends arising from natural internal variability. Over the full 38-year period of the satellite record, the separation between observed warming and internal variability estimates is even clearer. In two out of three recent satellite datasets, the tropospheric warming from 1979 to 2016 is unprecedented relative to internally generated temperature trends on the 38-year timescale. 2018-02-13T19:13:46Z 2018-02-13T19:13:46Z 2017-05 2017-03 2018-02-09T18:07:07Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 2045-2322 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/113635 Santer, Benjamin D. et al. “Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades.” Scientific Reports 7, 1 (May 2017): 2336 © 2017 The Author(s) https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2020-7581 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/S41598-017-02520-7 Scientific Reports Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ application/pdf Nature Publishing Group
spellingShingle Santer, Benjamin D.
Solomon, Susan
Wentz, Frank J.
Fu, Qiang
Po-Chedley, Stephen
Mears, Carl
Painter, Jeffrey F.
Bonfils, Céline
Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_full Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_fullStr Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_full_unstemmed Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_short Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_sort tropospheric warming over the past two decades
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/113635
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2020-7581
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