Electoral incentives to combat mosquito-borne illnesses: Experimental evidence from Brazil

Mosquito-borne illnesses present significant health challenges to the developing world. If citizens are informed about their government's efforts to combat these diseases, will they reward incumbents who have performed well and punish those who have done poorly at this task? Electoral sanctioni...

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Main Authors: Boas, Taylor C., Hidalgo, Fernando Daniel
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Political Science
Format: Article
Published: Elsevier 2018
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/118831
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0237-5060
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author Boas, Taylor C.
Hidalgo, Fernando Daniel
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Political Science
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Political Science
Boas, Taylor C.
Hidalgo, Fernando Daniel
author_sort Boas, Taylor C.
collection MIT
description Mosquito-borne illnesses present significant health challenges to the developing world. If citizens are informed about their government's efforts to combat these diseases, will they reward incumbents who have performed well and punish those who have done poorly at this task? Electoral sanctioning requires that combatting disease be a sufficiently salient concern, which, in turn, is likely to depend upon subjective perceptions of the risks posed by particular illnesses. Epidemics typically prompt stronger risk perceptions than endemic diseases, but where both types circulate jointly, the more familiar endemic disease may determine public reactions. The salience of health threats also varies among individuals; those with a self-interest in prevention or a personal connection to the effects of mosquito-borne illnesses may react more strongly. This study presents the results of a face-to-face survey experiment in Pernambuco, Brazil, informing subjects about their mayor's use of federal funds to combat mosquito-borne illnesses such as dengue (an endemic disease) and Zika and chikungunya (both epidemics). We examine the effect of this information on intended vote for the mayor's reelection. For the full sample, the treatment has no significant effect. However, we find a large and significant punishment effect among voters who know someone affected by microcephaly or the Zika virus. Drawing on survey and focus group evidence, we argue that most voters fail to act upon our treatment information because mosquito control is a low-salience concern primarily associated with endemic rather than epidemic diseases. Our study constitutes the first experimental evidence as to whether informing citizens about government public health efforts affects voting behavior. Our results suggests that, where similar epidemic and endemic diseases circulate together, informational campaigns aiming to induce electoral accountability should also seek to boost the salience of the information by educating the public about the difference between familiar and newer threats. Keywords: Latin America; Brazil; Elections; Accountability; Epidemic disease
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spelling mit-1721.1/1188312022-09-29T20:58:54Z Electoral incentives to combat mosquito-borne illnesses: Experimental evidence from Brazil Boas, Taylor C. Hidalgo, Fernando Daniel Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Political Science Hidalgo, Fernando Daniel Mosquito-borne illnesses present significant health challenges to the developing world. If citizens are informed about their government's efforts to combat these diseases, will they reward incumbents who have performed well and punish those who have done poorly at this task? Electoral sanctioning requires that combatting disease be a sufficiently salient concern, which, in turn, is likely to depend upon subjective perceptions of the risks posed by particular illnesses. Epidemics typically prompt stronger risk perceptions than endemic diseases, but where both types circulate jointly, the more familiar endemic disease may determine public reactions. The salience of health threats also varies among individuals; those with a self-interest in prevention or a personal connection to the effects of mosquito-borne illnesses may react more strongly. This study presents the results of a face-to-face survey experiment in Pernambuco, Brazil, informing subjects about their mayor's use of federal funds to combat mosquito-borne illnesses such as dengue (an endemic disease) and Zika and chikungunya (both epidemics). We examine the effect of this information on intended vote for the mayor's reelection. For the full sample, the treatment has no significant effect. However, we find a large and significant punishment effect among voters who know someone affected by microcephaly or the Zika virus. Drawing on survey and focus group evidence, we argue that most voters fail to act upon our treatment information because mosquito control is a low-salience concern primarily associated with endemic rather than epidemic diseases. Our study constitutes the first experimental evidence as to whether informing citizens about government public health efforts affects voting behavior. Our results suggests that, where similar epidemic and endemic diseases circulate together, informational campaigns aiming to induce electoral accountability should also seek to boost the salience of the information by educating the public about the difference between familiar and newer threats. Keywords: Latin America; Brazil; Elections; Accountability; Epidemic disease 2018-10-31T19:47:24Z 2018-10-31T19:47:24Z 2018-09 2018-08 2018-10-17T16:20:33Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0305-750X http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/118831 Boas, Taylor C. and F. Daniel Hidalgo. “Electoral Incentives to Combat Mosquito-Borne Illnesses: Experimental Evidence from Brazil.” World Development 113 (January 2019): 89–99 © 2018 The Authors https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0237-5060 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.08.013 World Development Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ application/pdf Elsevier Elsevier
spellingShingle Boas, Taylor C.
Hidalgo, Fernando Daniel
Electoral incentives to combat mosquito-borne illnesses: Experimental evidence from Brazil
title Electoral incentives to combat mosquito-borne illnesses: Experimental evidence from Brazil
title_full Electoral incentives to combat mosquito-borne illnesses: Experimental evidence from Brazil
title_fullStr Electoral incentives to combat mosquito-borne illnesses: Experimental evidence from Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Electoral incentives to combat mosquito-borne illnesses: Experimental evidence from Brazil
title_short Electoral incentives to combat mosquito-borne illnesses: Experimental evidence from Brazil
title_sort electoral incentives to combat mosquito borne illnesses experimental evidence from brazil
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/118831
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0237-5060
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