Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030
Climate policies targeting CO₂ emissions from fossil fuels can simultaneously reduce emissions of air pollutants and their precursors, thus mitigating air pollution and associated health impacts. Previous work has examined co-benefits of climate policy from reducing PM₂.₅ in rapidly-developing count...
Main Authors: | , , , , |
---|---|
Other Authors: | |
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Institute of Physics Publishing
2019
|
Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/122970 |
_version_ | 1811081517032538112 |
---|---|
author | Li, Mingwei Zhang, Da Li, Chiao-Ting Selin, Noelle E Karplus, Valerie Jean |
author2 | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences |
author_facet | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Li, Mingwei Zhang, Da Li, Chiao-Ting Selin, Noelle E Karplus, Valerie Jean |
author_sort | Li, Mingwei |
collection | MIT |
description | Climate policies targeting CO₂ emissions from fossil fuels can simultaneously reduce emissions of air pollutants and their precursors, thus mitigating air pollution and associated health impacts. Previous work has examined co-benefits of climate policy from reducing PM₂.₅ in rapidly-developing countries such as China, but have not examined co-benefits from ozone and its transboundary impact for both PM₂.₅ and ozone. Here, we compare the air quality and health co-benefits of China's climate policy on both PM₂.₅ and ozone in China to their co-benefits in three downwind and populous countries (South Korea, Japan and the United States) using a coupled modeling framework. In a policy scenario consistent with China's pledge to peak CO₂ emissions in approximately 2030, avoided premature deaths from ozone reductions are 54 300 (95% confidence interval: 37 100-71 000) in China in 2030, nearly 60% of those from PM₂.₅. Total avoided premature deaths in South Korea, Japan, and the US are 1200 (900-1600), 3500 (2800-4300), and 1900 (1400-2500), respectively. Total avoided deaths in South Korea and Japan are dominated by reductions in PM₂.₅-related mortality, but ozone plays a more important role in the US. Similar to co-benefits for PM₂.₅ in China, co-benefits of China's policy for ozone and for both pollutants in those downwind countries also rise with increasing policy stringency. Keywords: climate policy; air quality; human health; co-benefits; transboundary air pollution |
first_indexed | 2024-09-23T11:47:47Z |
format | Article |
id | mit-1721.1/122970 |
institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-09-23T11:47:47Z |
publishDate | 2019 |
publisher | Institute of Physics Publishing |
record_format | dspace |
spelling | mit-1721.1/1229702022-10-01T06:05:17Z Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030 Li, Mingwei Zhang, Da Li, Chiao-Ting Selin, Noelle E Karplus, Valerie Jean Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Joint Program on the Science & Policy of Global Change Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Institute for Data, Systems, and Society Sloan School of Management Climate policies targeting CO₂ emissions from fossil fuels can simultaneously reduce emissions of air pollutants and their precursors, thus mitigating air pollution and associated health impacts. Previous work has examined co-benefits of climate policy from reducing PM₂.₅ in rapidly-developing countries such as China, but have not examined co-benefits from ozone and its transboundary impact for both PM₂.₅ and ozone. Here, we compare the air quality and health co-benefits of China's climate policy on both PM₂.₅ and ozone in China to their co-benefits in three downwind and populous countries (South Korea, Japan and the United States) using a coupled modeling framework. In a policy scenario consistent with China's pledge to peak CO₂ emissions in approximately 2030, avoided premature deaths from ozone reductions are 54 300 (95% confidence interval: 37 100-71 000) in China in 2030, nearly 60% of those from PM₂.₅. Total avoided premature deaths in South Korea, Japan, and the US are 1200 (900-1600), 3500 (2800-4300), and 1900 (1400-2500), respectively. Total avoided deaths in South Korea and Japan are dominated by reductions in PM₂.₅-related mortality, but ozone plays a more important role in the US. Similar to co-benefits for PM₂.₅ in China, co-benefits of China's policy for ozone and for both pollutants in those downwind countries also rise with increasing policy stringency. Keywords: climate policy; air quality; human health; co-benefits; transboundary air pollution United States. Department of Energy. Energy Information Agency (Grant DE-EI0003030) United States. Department of Energy. (Grant DE-FG02-94ER61937) 2019-11-19T19:54:43Z 2019-11-19T19:54:43Z 2019-07-22 2019-05-19 2019-11-06T18:56:07Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 1748-9326 https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/122970 Li, Mingwei et al. "Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030." Environmental Research Lettters, 14, 8, (2019): 084006 © 2019 The Author(s) en https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab26ca Environmental Research Lettters Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ application/pdf Institute of Physics Publishing IOP Publishing |
spellingShingle | Li, Mingwei Zhang, Da Li, Chiao-Ting Selin, Noelle E Karplus, Valerie Jean Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030 |
title | Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030 |
title_full | Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030 |
title_fullStr | Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030 |
title_full_unstemmed | Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030 |
title_short | Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030 |
title_sort | co benefits of china s climate policy for air quality and human health in china and transboundary regions in 2030 |
url | https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/122970 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT limingwei cobenefitsofchinasclimatepolicyforairqualityandhumanhealthinchinaandtransboundaryregionsin2030 AT zhangda cobenefitsofchinasclimatepolicyforairqualityandhumanhealthinchinaandtransboundaryregionsin2030 AT lichiaoting cobenefitsofchinasclimatepolicyforairqualityandhumanhealthinchinaandtransboundaryregionsin2030 AT selinnoellee cobenefitsofchinasclimatepolicyforairqualityandhumanhealthinchinaandtransboundaryregionsin2030 AT karplusvaleriejean cobenefitsofchinasclimatepolicyforairqualityandhumanhealthinchinaandtransboundaryregionsin2030 |