Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030

Climate policies targeting CO₂ emissions from fossil fuels can simultaneously reduce emissions of air pollutants and their precursors, thus mitigating air pollution and associated health impacts. Previous work has examined co-benefits of climate policy from reducing PM₂.₅ in rapidly-developing count...

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Main Authors: Li, Mingwei, Zhang, Da, Li, Chiao-Ting, Selin, Noelle E, Karplus, Valerie Jean
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Institute of Physics Publishing 2019
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/122970
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author Li, Mingwei
Zhang, Da
Li, Chiao-Ting
Selin, Noelle E
Karplus, Valerie Jean
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Li, Mingwei
Zhang, Da
Li, Chiao-Ting
Selin, Noelle E
Karplus, Valerie Jean
author_sort Li, Mingwei
collection MIT
description Climate policies targeting CO₂ emissions from fossil fuels can simultaneously reduce emissions of air pollutants and their precursors, thus mitigating air pollution and associated health impacts. Previous work has examined co-benefits of climate policy from reducing PM₂.₅ in rapidly-developing countries such as China, but have not examined co-benefits from ozone and its transboundary impact for both PM₂.₅ and ozone. Here, we compare the air quality and health co-benefits of China's climate policy on both PM₂.₅ and ozone in China to their co-benefits in three downwind and populous countries (South Korea, Japan and the United States) using a coupled modeling framework. In a policy scenario consistent with China's pledge to peak CO₂ emissions in approximately 2030, avoided premature deaths from ozone reductions are 54 300 (95% confidence interval: 37 100-71 000) in China in 2030, nearly 60% of those from PM₂.₅. Total avoided premature deaths in South Korea, Japan, and the US are 1200 (900-1600), 3500 (2800-4300), and 1900 (1400-2500), respectively. Total avoided deaths in South Korea and Japan are dominated by reductions in PM₂.₅-related mortality, but ozone plays a more important role in the US. Similar to co-benefits for PM₂.₅ in China, co-benefits of China's policy for ozone and for both pollutants in those downwind countries also rise with increasing policy stringency. Keywords: climate policy; air quality; human health; co-benefits; transboundary air pollution
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spelling mit-1721.1/1229702022-10-01T06:05:17Z Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030 Li, Mingwei Zhang, Da Li, Chiao-Ting Selin, Noelle E Karplus, Valerie Jean Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Joint Program on the Science & Policy of Global Change Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Institute for Data, Systems, and Society Sloan School of Management Climate policies targeting CO₂ emissions from fossil fuels can simultaneously reduce emissions of air pollutants and their precursors, thus mitigating air pollution and associated health impacts. Previous work has examined co-benefits of climate policy from reducing PM₂.₅ in rapidly-developing countries such as China, but have not examined co-benefits from ozone and its transboundary impact for both PM₂.₅ and ozone. Here, we compare the air quality and health co-benefits of China's climate policy on both PM₂.₅ and ozone in China to their co-benefits in three downwind and populous countries (South Korea, Japan and the United States) using a coupled modeling framework. In a policy scenario consistent with China's pledge to peak CO₂ emissions in approximately 2030, avoided premature deaths from ozone reductions are 54 300 (95% confidence interval: 37 100-71 000) in China in 2030, nearly 60% of those from PM₂.₅. Total avoided premature deaths in South Korea, Japan, and the US are 1200 (900-1600), 3500 (2800-4300), and 1900 (1400-2500), respectively. Total avoided deaths in South Korea and Japan are dominated by reductions in PM₂.₅-related mortality, but ozone plays a more important role in the US. Similar to co-benefits for PM₂.₅ in China, co-benefits of China's policy for ozone and for both pollutants in those downwind countries also rise with increasing policy stringency. Keywords: climate policy; air quality; human health; co-benefits; transboundary air pollution United States. Department of Energy. Energy Information Agency (Grant DE-EI0003030) United States. Department of Energy. (Grant DE-FG02-94ER61937) 2019-11-19T19:54:43Z 2019-11-19T19:54:43Z 2019-07-22 2019-05-19 2019-11-06T18:56:07Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 1748-9326 https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/122970 Li, Mingwei et al. "Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030." Environmental Research Lettters, 14, 8, (2019): 084006 © 2019 The Author(s) en https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab26ca Environmental Research Lettters Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ application/pdf Institute of Physics Publishing IOP Publishing
spellingShingle Li, Mingwei
Zhang, Da
Li, Chiao-Ting
Selin, Noelle E
Karplus, Valerie Jean
Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030
title Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030
title_full Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030
title_fullStr Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030
title_full_unstemmed Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030
title_short Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030
title_sort co benefits of china s climate policy for air quality and human health in china and transboundary regions in 2030
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/122970
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