SCOPE11 Method for Estimating Aircraft Black Carbon Mass and Particle Number Emissions

Black carbon (BC) emissions from aircraft engines lead to an increase in the atmospheric burden of fine particulate matter (PM[subscript 2.5]). Exposure to PM[subscript 2.5] from sources, including aviation, is associated with an increased risk of premature mortality, and BC suspended in the atmosph...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Agarwal, Akshat, Speth, Raymond L, Fritz, Thibaud M., Jacob, S. Daniel, Rindlisbacher, Theo, Iovinelli, Ralph, Owen, Bethan, Miake-Lye, Richard C., Sabnis, Jayant S., Barrett, Steven R. H.
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Chemical Society (ACS) 2019
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/123329
Description
Summary:Black carbon (BC) emissions from aircraft engines lead to an increase in the atmospheric burden of fine particulate matter (PM[subscript 2.5]). Exposure to PM[subscript 2.5] from sources, including aviation, is associated with an increased risk of premature mortality, and BC suspended in the atmosphere has a warming impact on the climate. BC particles emitted from aircraft also serve as nuclei for contrail ice particles, which are a major component of aviation's climate impact. To facilitate the evaluation of these impacts, we have developed a method to estimate BC mass and number emissions at the engine exit plane, referred to as the Smoke Correlation for Particle Emissions-CAEP11 (SCOPE11). We use a data set consisting of SN-BC mass concentration pairs, collected using certification-compliant measurement systems, to develop a new relationship between smoke number (SN) and BC mass concentration. In addition, we use a complementary data set to estimate measurement system loss correction factors and particle geometric mean diameters to estimate BC number emissions at the engine exit plane. Using this method, we estimate global BC emissions from aircraft landing and takeoff (LTO) operations for 2015 to be 0.74 Gg/year (95% CI = 0.64-0.84) and 2.85 × 10[superscript 25] particles/year (95% CI = 1.86-4.49 × 10[superscript 25]).