Quantitative policy analysis for aviation biofuel production technologies

Thesis: S.M., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2019

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Wang, Z. Juju(Zhishen Juju)
Other Authors: Steven R. H. Barrett.
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/124181
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author Wang, Z. Juju(Zhishen Juju)
author2 Steven R. H. Barrett.
author_facet Steven R. H. Barrett.
Wang, Z. Juju(Zhishen Juju)
author_sort Wang, Z. Juju(Zhishen Juju)
collection MIT
description Thesis: S.M., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2019
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spelling mit-1721.1/1241812020-03-24T03:32:43Z Quantitative policy analysis for aviation biofuel production technologies Wang, Z. Juju(Zhishen Juju) Steven R. H. Barrett. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics Aeronautics and Astronautics. Thesis: S.M., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2019 Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. Includes bibliographical references (pages 49-52). This paper quantifies the impacts of various policy options on the economic viability of six aviation biofuel production technologies. The pathways considered are isobutanol to jet from corn grain, hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids (HEFA) from inedible fats and oils (IFO), HEFA from palm fatty acid distillate (PFAD), synthesized iso-paraffins (SIP) from sugarcane, Fischer-Tropsch (FT) gasification and synthesis from municipal solid waste (MSW), and micro FT from wood residues. The policies considered include feedstock subsidies, capital grants, output based incentives, and a number of policies intended to reduce project risk. Stochastic techno-economic analysis (TEA) models for each pathway are used to quantify the impact of the policies on the median and probabilistic distribution of project net present value (NPV), and minimum selling price (MSP) of the resulting middle distillate fuel products. The policies of interest were layered on top of each baseline TEA model and the relationships between total policy costs and pathway NPVs were determined. The findings of this work show that on average, in the absence of any policies, none of the technology pathways studied are financially viable. In addition, the magnitude of various policy options to achieve economic viability, or 'breakeven', are calculated: the required policy ranges from a total cost of 35 to 337 million USD, equivalent to an output subsidy of approximately 0.07 to 0.71 USD/liter. At the same time, our analysis demonstrates that the cumulative impact of multiple policies on the magnitude of real-world examples could result in economically viable aviation biofuel production. by Z. Juju Wang. S.M. S.M. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics 2020-03-23T18:10:15Z 2020-03-23T18:10:15Z 2019 2019 Thesis https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/124181 1144177523 eng MIT theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed, downloaded, or printed from this source but further reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 52 pages application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Aeronautics and Astronautics.
Wang, Z. Juju(Zhishen Juju)
Quantitative policy analysis for aviation biofuel production technologies
title Quantitative policy analysis for aviation biofuel production technologies
title_full Quantitative policy analysis for aviation biofuel production technologies
title_fullStr Quantitative policy analysis for aviation biofuel production technologies
title_full_unstemmed Quantitative policy analysis for aviation biofuel production technologies
title_short Quantitative policy analysis for aviation biofuel production technologies
title_sort quantitative policy analysis for aviation biofuel production technologies
topic Aeronautics and Astronautics.
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/124181
work_keys_str_mv AT wangzjujuzhishenjuju quantitativepolicyanalysisforaviationbiofuelproductiontechnologies