Estimation of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Frequency in the United States

Tropical cyclones pose a significant flood risk to vast land regions in their path because of extreme precipitation. Thus it is imperative to quantitatively assess this risk. This study compares exceedance frequencies of tropical cyclone precipitation derived from two independent observational datas...

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Main Authors: Feldmann, Monika, Emanuel, Kerry, Zhu, Laiyin, Lohmann, Ulrike
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Meteorological Society 2020
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/124924
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author Feldmann, Monika
Emanuel, Kerry
Zhu, Laiyin
Lohmann, Ulrike
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Feldmann, Monika
Emanuel, Kerry
Zhu, Laiyin
Lohmann, Ulrike
author_sort Feldmann, Monika
collection MIT
description Tropical cyclones pose a significant flood risk to vast land regions in their path because of extreme precipitation. Thus it is imperative to quantitatively assess this risk. This study compares exceedance frequencies of tropical cyclone precipitation derived from two independent observational datasets with those estimated using a tropical cyclone rainfall algorithm applied to large sets of synthetic tropical cyclones. The modeled rainfall compares reasonably well to observed rainfall across much of the southern United States but does less well in the mid-Atlantic states. Possible causes of this disparity are discussed. © 2019 American Meteorological Society.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1249242024-06-14T18:31:14Z Estimation of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Frequency in the United States Feldmann, Monika Emanuel, Kerry Zhu, Laiyin Lohmann, Ulrike Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Tropical cyclones pose a significant flood risk to vast land regions in their path because of extreme precipitation. Thus it is imperative to quantitatively assess this risk. This study compares exceedance frequencies of tropical cyclone precipitation derived from two independent observational datasets with those estimated using a tropical cyclone rainfall algorithm applied to large sets of synthetic tropical cyclones. The modeled rainfall compares reasonably well to observed rainfall across much of the southern United States but does less well in the mid-Atlantic states. Possible causes of this disparity are discussed. © 2019 American Meteorological Society. National Science Foundation (Grant AGS1520683) 2020-04-29T15:42:49Z 2020-04-29T15:42:49Z 2019-08 2019-05 2020-04-09T14:02:19Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 1558-8432 1558-8424 https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/124924 Feldmann, et al. "Estimation of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Frequency in the United States." Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 58, 8 (August 2019): 1853-1866 © 2019 Author(s) en 10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0011.1 Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society
spellingShingle Feldmann, Monika
Emanuel, Kerry
Zhu, Laiyin
Lohmann, Ulrike
Estimation of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Frequency in the United States
title Estimation of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Frequency in the United States
title_full Estimation of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Frequency in the United States
title_fullStr Estimation of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Frequency in the United States
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Frequency in the United States
title_short Estimation of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Frequency in the United States
title_sort estimation of atlantic tropical cyclone rainfall frequency in the united states
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/124924
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AT lohmannulrike estimationofatlantictropicalcyclonerainfallfrequencyintheunitedstates