Drivers of Product Expiration in Consumer Packaged Goods Retailing

Product expiration is an important problem in the consumer packaged goods (CPG) industry costing 1%-2% of gross retail sales and eroding industry profits substantially. It can be caused by several factors related to store operations, supply chain practices, and product characteristics. Existing meth...

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Main Authors: Akkas, Arzum, Gaur, Vishal, Simchi-Levi, David
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) 2020
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/125855
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author Akkas, Arzum
Gaur, Vishal
Simchi-Levi, David
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division
Akkas, Arzum
Gaur, Vishal
Simchi-Levi, David
author_sort Akkas, Arzum
collection MIT
description Product expiration is an important problem in the consumer packaged goods (CPG) industry costing 1%-2% of gross retail sales and eroding industry profits substantially. It can be caused by several factors related to store operations, supply chain practices, and product characteristics. Existing methods used in the industry are inadequate to identify the causes of expiration, leading to inadequate efforts to reduce expiration. Using retail data for 768 SKUs and 10,000 stores (745,638 store-SKU-level observations), as well as upstream supply chain data from a CPG manufacturer, we show the extent to which expiration of products in retail stores is driven by case size, inventory aging in the supply chain, minimum order rules, manufacturers' incentive programs for the sales force, replenishment workload, and many control variables. A counterfactual analysis based on the model shows that our subject manufacturer can reduce expiration by up to $38.82 million per year by implementing four selected initiatives involving case size, supply chain aging, minimum order rules, and sales incentives. Further, targeted initiatives can be designed using combinations of these variables for subsets of products with the highest occurrence of expiration.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1258552022-09-28T19:12:41Z Drivers of Product Expiration in Consumer Packaged Goods Retailing Akkas, Arzum Gaur, Vishal Simchi-Levi, David Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division Product expiration is an important problem in the consumer packaged goods (CPG) industry costing 1%-2% of gross retail sales and eroding industry profits substantially. It can be caused by several factors related to store operations, supply chain practices, and product characteristics. Existing methods used in the industry are inadequate to identify the causes of expiration, leading to inadequate efforts to reduce expiration. Using retail data for 768 SKUs and 10,000 stores (745,638 store-SKU-level observations), as well as upstream supply chain data from a CPG manufacturer, we show the extent to which expiration of products in retail stores is driven by case size, inventory aging in the supply chain, minimum order rules, manufacturers' incentive programs for the sales force, replenishment workload, and many control variables. A counterfactual analysis based on the model shows that our subject manufacturer can reduce expiration by up to $38.82 million per year by implementing four selected initiatives involving case size, supply chain aging, minimum order rules, and sales incentives. Further, targeted initiatives can be designed using combinations of these variables for subsets of products with the highest occurrence of expiration. 2020-06-17T20:02:01Z 2020-06-17T20:02:01Z 2018-11 2014-08 2020-06-02T15:31:57Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/125855 Akkas, Arzum et al. "Drivers of Product Expiration in Consumer Packaged Goods Retailing." Management Science 65, 5 (November 2018): 39-44 © 2017 INFORMS en http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/MNSC.2018.3051 Management Science Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ application/pdf Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) SSRN
spellingShingle Akkas, Arzum
Gaur, Vishal
Simchi-Levi, David
Drivers of Product Expiration in Consumer Packaged Goods Retailing
title Drivers of Product Expiration in Consumer Packaged Goods Retailing
title_full Drivers of Product Expiration in Consumer Packaged Goods Retailing
title_fullStr Drivers of Product Expiration in Consumer Packaged Goods Retailing
title_full_unstemmed Drivers of Product Expiration in Consumer Packaged Goods Retailing
title_short Drivers of Product Expiration in Consumer Packaged Goods Retailing
title_sort drivers of product expiration in consumer packaged goods retailing
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/125855
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