Effects of environmental stressors on daily governance

Human workers ensure the functioning of governments around the world. The efficacy of human workers, in turn, is linked to the climatic conditions they face. Here we show that the same weather that amplifies human health hazards also reduces street-level government workers' oversight of these h...

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Main Authors: Obradovich, Nicholas, Tingley, Dustin, Rahwan, Iyad
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: National Academy of Sciences 2020
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/126274
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author Obradovich, Nicholas
Tingley, Dustin
Rahwan, Iyad
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory
Obradovich, Nicholas
Tingley, Dustin
Rahwan, Iyad
author_sort Obradovich, Nicholas
collection MIT
description Human workers ensure the functioning of governments around the world. The efficacy of human workers, in turn, is linked to the climatic conditions they face. Here we show that the same weather that amplifies human health hazards also reduces street-level government workers' oversight of these hazards. To do so, we employ US data from over 70 million regulatory police stops between 2000 and 2017, from over 500,000 fatal vehicular crashes between 2001 and 2015, and from nearly 13 million food safety violations across over 4 million inspections between 2012 and 2016. We find that cold and hot temperatures increase fatal crash risk and incidence of food safety violations while also decreasing police stops and food safety inspections. Added precipitation increases fatal crash risk while also decreasing police stops. We examine downscaled general circulation model output to highlight the possible day-to-day governance impacts of climate change by 2050 and 2099. Future warming may augment regulatory oversight during cooler seasons. During hotter seasons, however, warming may diminish regulatory oversight while simultaneously amplifying the hazards government workers are tasked with overseeing.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1262742022-10-01T01:07:59Z Effects of environmental stressors on daily governance Obradovich, Nicholas Tingley, Dustin Rahwan, Iyad Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Institute for Data, Systems, and Society Human workers ensure the functioning of governments around the world. The efficacy of human workers, in turn, is linked to the climatic conditions they face. Here we show that the same weather that amplifies human health hazards also reduces street-level government workers' oversight of these hazards. To do so, we employ US data from over 70 million regulatory police stops between 2000 and 2017, from over 500,000 fatal vehicular crashes between 2001 and 2015, and from nearly 13 million food safety violations across over 4 million inspections between 2012 and 2016. We find that cold and hot temperatures increase fatal crash risk and incidence of food safety violations while also decreasing police stops and food safety inspections. Added precipitation increases fatal crash risk while also decreasing police stops. We examine downscaled general circulation model output to highlight the possible day-to-day governance impacts of climate change by 2050 and 2099. Future warming may augment regulatory oversight during cooler seasons. During hotter seasons, however, warming may diminish regulatory oversight while simultaneously amplifying the hazards government workers are tasked with overseeing. 2020-07-21T15:15:06Z 2020-07-21T15:15:06Z 2018-08 2018-03 2019-07-25T15:28:46Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0027-8424 1091-6490 https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/126274 Obradovich, Nick et al. "Effects of environmental stressors on daily governance." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115, 35 (August 2018): 8710-8715 © National Academy of Sciences en http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1803765115 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf National Academy of Sciences PNAS
spellingShingle Obradovich, Nicholas
Tingley, Dustin
Rahwan, Iyad
Effects of environmental stressors on daily governance
title Effects of environmental stressors on daily governance
title_full Effects of environmental stressors on daily governance
title_fullStr Effects of environmental stressors on daily governance
title_full_unstemmed Effects of environmental stressors on daily governance
title_short Effects of environmental stressors on daily governance
title_sort effects of environmental stressors on daily governance
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/126274
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