Analysis of a simplified calibration procedure for 18 design-phase building energy models

This paper evaluates the accuracy of 18 design-phase building energy models, built according to LEED Canada protocol, and investigates the effectiveness of model calibration steps to improve simulation predictions with respect to measured energy data. These calibration steps, applied in professional...

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Main Author: Reinhart, Christoph
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Architecture
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Informa UK Limited 2020
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/126642
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author Reinhart, Christoph
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Architecture
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Architecture
Reinhart, Christoph
author_sort Reinhart, Christoph
collection MIT
description This paper evaluates the accuracy of 18 design-phase building energy models, built according to LEED Canada protocol, and investigates the effectiveness of model calibration steps to improve simulation predictions with respect to measured energy data. These calibration steps, applied in professional practice, included inputting actual weather data, adding unregulated loads, revising plug loads (often with submetered data), and other simple updates. In sum, the design-phase energy models underpredicted the total measured energy consumption by 36%. Following the calibration steps, this error was reduced to a net 7% underprediction. For the monthly energy use intensity (EUI), the coefficient of variation of the root mean square error improved from 45% to 24%. Revising plug loads made the largest impact in these cases. This step increased the EUI by 15% median (32% mean) in the models. This impact far exceeded that of calibrating the weather data, even in a sensitivity test using extreme weather years.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1266422022-09-29T15:55:22Z Analysis of a simplified calibration procedure for 18 design-phase building energy models Reinhart, Christoph Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Architecture This paper evaluates the accuracy of 18 design-phase building energy models, built according to LEED Canada protocol, and investigates the effectiveness of model calibration steps to improve simulation predictions with respect to measured energy data. These calibration steps, applied in professional practice, included inputting actual weather data, adding unregulated loads, revising plug loads (often with submetered data), and other simple updates. In sum, the design-phase energy models underpredicted the total measured energy consumption by 36%. Following the calibration steps, this error was reduced to a net 7% underprediction. For the monthly energy use intensity (EUI), the coefficient of variation of the root mean square error improved from 45% to 24%. Revising plug loads made the largest impact in these cases. This step increased the EUI by 15% median (32% mean) in the models. This impact far exceeded that of calibrating the weather data, even in a sensitivity test using extreme weather years. 2020-08-18T15:23:52Z 2020-08-18T15:23:52Z 2015-01 2014-01 2019-08-08T13:32:16Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 1940-1507 1940-1493 https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/126642 Samuelsona, Holly W., Arash Ghorayshib and Christoph F. Reinhart. “Analysis of a simplified calibration procedure for 18 design-phase building energy models.” Journal of building performance simulation, vol. 9, no. 1, 2015, pp. 17–29 © 2015 The Author(s) en 10.1080/19401493.2014.988752 Journal of building performance simulation Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ application/pdf Informa UK Limited Other repository
spellingShingle Reinhart, Christoph
Analysis of a simplified calibration procedure for 18 design-phase building energy models
title Analysis of a simplified calibration procedure for 18 design-phase building energy models
title_full Analysis of a simplified calibration procedure for 18 design-phase building energy models
title_fullStr Analysis of a simplified calibration procedure for 18 design-phase building energy models
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of a simplified calibration procedure for 18 design-phase building energy models
title_short Analysis of a simplified calibration procedure for 18 design-phase building energy models
title_sort analysis of a simplified calibration procedure for 18 design phase building energy models
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/126642
work_keys_str_mv AT reinhartchristoph analysisofasimplifiedcalibrationprocedurefor18designphasebuildingenergymodels