The rise of COVID-19 cases is associated with support for world leaders

COVID-19 has emerged as one of the deadliest and most disruptive global pandemics in recent human history. Drawing from political science and psychological theory, we examine the effects of daily confirmed cases in a country on citizens’ support for the nation’s leader through first 120 days of 2020...

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Main Authors: Yam, Kai Chi, Jackson, Joshua Conrad, Barnes, Christopher Montgomery, Lau, Tsz Chun, Qin, Xin, Lee, Hin Yeung
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Nuclear Science and Engineering
Format: Article
Published: National Academy of Sciences 2020
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/127805
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author Yam, Kai Chi
Jackson, Joshua Conrad
Barnes, Christopher Montgomery
Lau, Tsz Chun
Qin, Xin
Lee, Hin Yeung
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Nuclear Science and Engineering
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Nuclear Science and Engineering
Yam, Kai Chi
Jackson, Joshua Conrad
Barnes, Christopher Montgomery
Lau, Tsz Chun
Qin, Xin
Lee, Hin Yeung
author_sort Yam, Kai Chi
collection MIT
description COVID-19 has emerged as one of the deadliest and most disruptive global pandemics in recent human history. Drawing from political science and psychological theory, we examine the effects of daily confirmed cases in a country on citizens’ support for the nation’s leader through first 120 days of 2020. Using two unique datasets which comprises daily approval ratings of head of government (N = 1,411,200) across 11 world leaders (Australia, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Hong Kong, India, Japan, Mexico, the United Kingdom, and the United States), we find a strong and significant positive association between new daily confirmed and total confirmed COVID-19 cases in the country and support for the heads of government. Exploratory analyses reveal that this effect might be strongest for countries high on individualism. These analyses show that world leaders benefit from COVID-19, at least in the early months of the pandemic. Moreover, these findings suggest that the previously documented “rally ‘round the flag” effect applies beyond just intergroup conflict.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1278052022-10-01T14:56:01Z The rise of COVID-19 cases is associated with support for world leaders Yam, Kai Chi Jackson, Joshua Conrad Barnes, Christopher Montgomery Lau, Tsz Chun Qin, Xin Lee, Hin Yeung Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Nuclear Science and Engineering COVID-19 has emerged as one of the deadliest and most disruptive global pandemics in recent human history. Drawing from political science and psychological theory, we examine the effects of daily confirmed cases in a country on citizens’ support for the nation’s leader through first 120 days of 2020. Using two unique datasets which comprises daily approval ratings of head of government (N = 1,411,200) across 11 world leaders (Australia, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Hong Kong, India, Japan, Mexico, the United Kingdom, and the United States), we find a strong and significant positive association between new daily confirmed and total confirmed COVID-19 cases in the country and support for the heads of government. Exploratory analyses reveal that this effect might be strongest for countries high on individualism. These analyses show that world leaders benefit from COVID-19, at least in the early months of the pandemic. Moreover, these findings suggest that the previously documented “rally ‘round the flag” effect applies beyond just intergroup conflict. 2020-10-05T16:14:40Z 2020-10-05T16:14:40Z 2020-09 2020-05 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/127805 Yam, Kai Chi et al. "The rise of COVID-19 cases is associated with support for world leaders." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (September 2020): doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2009252117 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2009252117 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf National Academy of Sciences PNAS
spellingShingle Yam, Kai Chi
Jackson, Joshua Conrad
Barnes, Christopher Montgomery
Lau, Tsz Chun
Qin, Xin
Lee, Hin Yeung
The rise of COVID-19 cases is associated with support for world leaders
title The rise of COVID-19 cases is associated with support for world leaders
title_full The rise of COVID-19 cases is associated with support for world leaders
title_fullStr The rise of COVID-19 cases is associated with support for world leaders
title_full_unstemmed The rise of COVID-19 cases is associated with support for world leaders
title_short The rise of COVID-19 cases is associated with support for world leaders
title_sort rise of covid 19 cases is associated with support for world leaders
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/127805
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