Causality and self-signaling in economic games

Thesis: S.M. in Management Research, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, May, 2020

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Cashman, Matthew (Matthew P.)
Other Authors: Sloan School of Management.
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/128098
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author Cashman, Matthew (Matthew P.)
author2 Sloan School of Management.
author_facet Sloan School of Management.
Cashman, Matthew (Matthew P.)
author_sort Cashman, Matthew (Matthew P.)
collection MIT
description Thesis: S.M. in Management Research, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, May, 2020
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spelling mit-1721.1/1280982022-01-01T07:28:28Z Causality and self-signaling in economic games Cashman, Matthew (Matthew P.) Sloan School of Management. Sloan School of Management Sloan School of Management. Thesis: S.M. in Management Research, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, May, 2020 Cataloged from the official PDF of thesis. Includes bibliographical references (pages 25-26). Our ability to cooperate is one of the cornerstones of our success as a species, and the story of how humans have been able to put aside immediate personal gain in favor of a longer view is widely studied. We add to this literature by exploring certain seemingly irrational behaviors observed in economic games. This is a set of behaviors that look like misunderstandings of causality, and which are irrational or must be the result of a misunderstanding on a classical economic reading. However, modes of cognition such as those reflected in self-signaling theory may serve to explain how the seemingly irrational might sometimes be quite sensible. We elicit these behaviors using real-time multiplayer economic games and suggest mechanisms whereby players may incorporate the value of receiving certain signals themselves into their utility calculations, thus making for rational behavior--and rational inference--in cases where it is not obviously so. In particular, we demonstrate order effects in economic games with no information flow and we show systematic biases in estimates of what one's partners have done versus the population. Both of these phenomena are consistent with a combination of self-signaling and a limit on the direction of inference in time. by Matthew Cashman. S.M. in Management Research S.M. in Management Research Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management 2020-10-19T00:43:04Z 2020-10-19T00:43:04Z 2020 2020 Thesis https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/128098 1200234680 eng MIT theses may be protected by copyright. Please reuse MIT thesis content according to the MIT Libraries Permissions Policy, which is available through the URL provided. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 28 pages application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Sloan School of Management.
Cashman, Matthew (Matthew P.)
Causality and self-signaling in economic games
title Causality and self-signaling in economic games
title_full Causality and self-signaling in economic games
title_fullStr Causality and self-signaling in economic games
title_full_unstemmed Causality and self-signaling in economic games
title_short Causality and self-signaling in economic games
title_sort causality and self signaling in economic games
topic Sloan School of Management.
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/128098
work_keys_str_mv AT cashmanmatthewmatthewp causalityandselfsignalingineconomicgames