Understanding rate effects in injection-induced earthquakes

Understanding the physical mechanisms that underpin the link between fluid injection and seismicity is essential in efforts to mitigate the seismic risk associated with subsurface technologies. To that end, here we develop a poroelastic model of earthquake nucleation based on rate-and-state friction...

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Main Authors: Alghannam, Maryam, Juanes, Ruben
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer Science and Business Media LLC 2020
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/128373
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author Alghannam, Maryam
Juanes, Ruben
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Alghannam, Maryam
Juanes, Ruben
author_sort Alghannam, Maryam
collection MIT
description Understanding the physical mechanisms that underpin the link between fluid injection and seismicity is essential in efforts to mitigate the seismic risk associated with subsurface technologies. To that end, here we develop a poroelastic model of earthquake nucleation based on rate-and-state friction in the manner of spring–sliders, and analyze conditions for the emergence of stick-slip frictional instability—the mechanism for earthquakes—by carrying out a linear stability analysis and nonlinear simulations. We find that the likelihood of triggering earthquakes depends largely on the rate of increase in pore pressure rather than its magnitude. Consequently, fluid injection at constant rate acts in the direction of triggering seismic rupture at early times followed by aseismic creep at late times. Our model implies that, for the same cumulative volume of injected fluid, an abrupt high-rate injection protocol is likely to increase the seismic risk whereas a gradual step-up protocol is likely to decrease it.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1283732022-10-01T22:20:51Z Understanding rate effects in injection-induced earthquakes Alghannam, Maryam Juanes, Ruben Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Understanding the physical mechanisms that underpin the link between fluid injection and seismicity is essential in efforts to mitigate the seismic risk associated with subsurface technologies. To that end, here we develop a poroelastic model of earthquake nucleation based on rate-and-state friction in the manner of spring–sliders, and analyze conditions for the emergence of stick-slip frictional instability—the mechanism for earthquakes—by carrying out a linear stability analysis and nonlinear simulations. We find that the likelihood of triggering earthquakes depends largely on the rate of increase in pore pressure rather than its magnitude. Consequently, fluid injection at constant rate acts in the direction of triggering seismic rupture at early times followed by aseismic creep at late times. Our model implies that, for the same cumulative volume of injected fluid, an abrupt high-rate injection protocol is likely to increase the seismic risk whereas a gradual step-up protocol is likely to decrease it. 2020-11-05T21:48:50Z 2020-11-05T21:48:50Z 2020-06 2019-09 2020-11-04T15:57:07Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 2041-1723 https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/128373 Alghannam, Maryam and Ruben Juanes. "Understanding rate effects in injection-induced earthquakes." Nature Communications 11, 1 (June 2020): 3053. © 2020 The Author(s) en http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16860-y Nature Communications Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ application/pdf Springer Science and Business Media LLC Nature
spellingShingle Alghannam, Maryam
Juanes, Ruben
Understanding rate effects in injection-induced earthquakes
title Understanding rate effects in injection-induced earthquakes
title_full Understanding rate effects in injection-induced earthquakes
title_fullStr Understanding rate effects in injection-induced earthquakes
title_full_unstemmed Understanding rate effects in injection-induced earthquakes
title_short Understanding rate effects in injection-induced earthquakes
title_sort understanding rate effects in injection induced earthquakes
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/128373
work_keys_str_mv AT alghannammaryam understandingrateeffectsininjectioninducedearthquakes
AT juanesruben understandingrateeffectsininjectioninducedearthquakes