Houses as ATMs: Mortgage Refinancing and Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Mortgage refinancing activity associated with extraction of home equity contains a strongly countercyclical component consistent with household demand for liquidity. We estimate a structural model of liquidity management featuring countercyclical idiosyncratic labor income uncertainty, long- and sho...

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Main Author: Chen, Hui
Other Authors: Sloan School of Management
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/129710
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author Chen, Hui
author2 Sloan School of Management
author_facet Sloan School of Management
Chen, Hui
author_sort Chen, Hui
collection MIT
description Mortgage refinancing activity associated with extraction of home equity contains a strongly countercyclical component consistent with household demand for liquidity. We estimate a structural model of liquidity management featuring countercyclical idiosyncratic labor income uncertainty, long- and short-term mortgages, and realistic borrowing constraints. We empirically evaluate its predictions for households' choices of leverage, liquid assets, and mortgage refinancing using microlevel data. Taking the observed historical paths of house prices, aggregate income, and interest rates as given, the model accounts for many salient features in the evolution of balance sheets and consumption in the cross-section of households over 2001 to 2012.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1297102022-09-30T16:22:32Z Houses as ATMs: Mortgage Refinancing and Macroeconomic Uncertainty Chen, Hui Sloan School of Management Mortgage refinancing activity associated with extraction of home equity contains a strongly countercyclical component consistent with household demand for liquidity. We estimate a structural model of liquidity management featuring countercyclical idiosyncratic labor income uncertainty, long- and short-term mortgages, and realistic borrowing constraints. We empirically evaluate its predictions for households' choices of leverage, liquid assets, and mortgage refinancing using microlevel data. Taking the observed historical paths of house prices, aggregate income, and interest rates as given, the model accounts for many salient features in the evolution of balance sheets and consumption in the cross-section of households over 2001 to 2012. 2021-02-08T20:39:42Z 2021-02-08T20:39:42Z 2019-10 2018-11 2021-02-08T18:18:22Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0022-1082 https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/129710 Chen, Hui et al. “Houses as ATMs: Mortgage Refinancing and Macroeconomic Uncertainty.” The Journal of Finance, 75, 1 (October 2019): 323-375 © 2019 The Author(s) en 10.1111/JOFI.12842 The Journal of Finance Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ application/pdf Wiley SSRN
spellingShingle Chen, Hui
Houses as ATMs: Mortgage Refinancing and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
title Houses as ATMs: Mortgage Refinancing and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
title_full Houses as ATMs: Mortgage Refinancing and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
title_fullStr Houses as ATMs: Mortgage Refinancing and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
title_full_unstemmed Houses as ATMs: Mortgage Refinancing and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
title_short Houses as ATMs: Mortgage Refinancing and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
title_sort houses as atms mortgage refinancing and macroeconomic uncertainty
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/129710
work_keys_str_mv AT chenhui housesasatmsmortgagerefinancingandmacroeconomicuncertainty