On the predictability and robustness of Galileo disposal orbits

Abstract The end-of-life disposal of Galileo satellites is needed to avoid collisions with operational spacecraft and to prevent the generation of space debris. Either disposal into stable graveyard orbits or disposal into the atmosphere exploiting eccentricity growth caused by luniso...

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Main Authors: Gondelach, David J, Armellin, Roberto, Wittig, Alexander
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer Netherlands 2021
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/131751
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author Gondelach, David J
Armellin, Roberto
Wittig, Alexander
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics
Gondelach, David J
Armellin, Roberto
Wittig, Alexander
author_sort Gondelach, David J
collection MIT
description Abstract The end-of-life disposal of Galileo satellites is needed to avoid collisions with operational spacecraft and to prevent the generation of space debris. Either disposal into stable graveyard orbits or disposal into the atmosphere exploiting eccentricity growth caused by lunisolar resonances is possible. However, there is a concern about the predictability of medium Earth orbits because of possible chaotic behaviour caused by the overlap of resonances. In this work, we investigate if Galileo disposal orbits are predictable and robust, that is, if safe disposal is possible under uncertainties. For this, we employ finite-time Lyapunov exponents (FTLEs) to study the chaoticity of orbits. In addition, sensitivity analysis is used to quantify the effect of uncertainties on the orbital evolution and to determine if safe disposal is possible. Whether the disposal orbits are chaotic or not could not be concluded from the FTLE analysis, because the observed divergence between neighbouring orbits can also be caused by hyperbolicity of the dynamics. Nevertheless, because the resonance dynamics are perturbed and resonances may overlap, all disposal orbits are expected to be chaotic. Regarding robustness, we found that the majority of the investigated re-entry disposal trajectories (including low $$\Delta V$$ΔV solutions) is robust. On the other hand, we find that the investigated graveyard orbits and a small portion of the assessed re-entry orbits are not robust under uncertainties in the disposal manoeuvre and in the dynamical model. Therefore, it is mandatory to assess the sensitivity of a disposal orbit to uncertainties to ensure safe disposal.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1317512023-12-06T18:14:58Z On the predictability and robustness of Galileo disposal orbits Gondelach, David J Armellin, Roberto Wittig, Alexander Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics Abstract The end-of-life disposal of Galileo satellites is needed to avoid collisions with operational spacecraft and to prevent the generation of space debris. Either disposal into stable graveyard orbits or disposal into the atmosphere exploiting eccentricity growth caused by lunisolar resonances is possible. However, there is a concern about the predictability of medium Earth orbits because of possible chaotic behaviour caused by the overlap of resonances. In this work, we investigate if Galileo disposal orbits are predictable and robust, that is, if safe disposal is possible under uncertainties. For this, we employ finite-time Lyapunov exponents (FTLEs) to study the chaoticity of orbits. In addition, sensitivity analysis is used to quantify the effect of uncertainties on the orbital evolution and to determine if safe disposal is possible. Whether the disposal orbits are chaotic or not could not be concluded from the FTLE analysis, because the observed divergence between neighbouring orbits can also be caused by hyperbolicity of the dynamics. Nevertheless, because the resonance dynamics are perturbed and resonances may overlap, all disposal orbits are expected to be chaotic. Regarding robustness, we found that the majority of the investigated re-entry disposal trajectories (including low $$\Delta V$$ΔV solutions) is robust. On the other hand, we find that the investigated graveyard orbits and a small portion of the assessed re-entry orbits are not robust under uncertainties in the disposal manoeuvre and in the dynamical model. Therefore, it is mandatory to assess the sensitivity of a disposal orbit to uncertainties to ensure safe disposal. 2021-09-20T17:30:08Z 2021-09-20T17:30:08Z 2019-11-29 2020-09-24T20:36:00Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/131751 Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy. 2019 Nov 29;131(12):60 en https://doi.org/10.1007/s10569-019-9938-9 Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. Springer Nature B.V. application/pdf Springer Netherlands Springer Netherlands
spellingShingle Gondelach, David J
Armellin, Roberto
Wittig, Alexander
On the predictability and robustness of Galileo disposal orbits
title On the predictability and robustness of Galileo disposal orbits
title_full On the predictability and robustness of Galileo disposal orbits
title_fullStr On the predictability and robustness of Galileo disposal orbits
title_full_unstemmed On the predictability and robustness of Galileo disposal orbits
title_short On the predictability and robustness of Galileo disposal orbits
title_sort on the predictability and robustness of galileo disposal orbits
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/131751
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