Inference of experimental radial impurity transport on Alcator C-Mod: Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection

© 2020 IAEA, Vienna We present a fully Bayesian approach for the inference of radial profiles of impurity transport coefficients and compare its results to neoclassical, gyrofluid and gyrokinetic modeling. Using nested sampling, the Bayesian impurity transport inference (BITE) framework can handle c...

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Main Authors: Sciortino, F, Howard, NT, Marmar, ES, Odstrcil, T, Cao, NM, Dux, R, Hubbard, AE, Hughes, JW, Irby, JH, Marzouk, YM, Milanese, LM, Reinke, ML, Rice, JE, Rodriguez-Fernandez, P
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Plasma Science and Fusion Center
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2021
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/133298
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author Sciortino, F
Howard, NT
Marmar, ES
Odstrcil, T
Cao, NM
Dux, R
Hubbard, AE
Hughes, JW
Irby, JH
Marzouk, YM
Milanese, LM
Reinke, ML
Rice, JE
Rodriguez-Fernandez, P
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Plasma Science and Fusion Center
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Plasma Science and Fusion Center
Sciortino, F
Howard, NT
Marmar, ES
Odstrcil, T
Cao, NM
Dux, R
Hubbard, AE
Hughes, JW
Irby, JH
Marzouk, YM
Milanese, LM
Reinke, ML
Rice, JE
Rodriguez-Fernandez, P
author_sort Sciortino, F
collection MIT
description © 2020 IAEA, Vienna We present a fully Bayesian approach for the inference of radial profiles of impurity transport coefficients and compare its results to neoclassical, gyrofluid and gyrokinetic modeling. Using nested sampling, the Bayesian impurity transport inference (BITE) framework can handle complex parameter spaces with multiple possible solutions, offering great advantages in interpretative power and reliability with respect to previously demonstrated methods. BITE employs a forward model based on the pySTRAHL package, built on the success of the well-known STRAHL code (Dux 2003 Fusion Sci Technol. 44 708-15), to simulate impurity transport in magnetically-confined plasmas. In this paper, we focus on calcium (Ca, Z = 20) laser blow-off injections into Alcator C-Mod plasmas. Multiple Ca atomic lines are diagnosed via high-resolution x-ray imaging crystal spectroscopy and vacuum ultra-violet measurements. We analyze a sawtoothing I-mode discharge for which neoclassical and turbulent (quasilinear and non-linear) predictions are also obtained. We find good agreement in diffusion across the entire radial extent, while turbulent convection and density profile peaking are estimated to be larger in experiment than suggested by theory. Efforts and challenges associated with the inference of experimental pedestal impurity transport are discussed.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1332982023-12-19T21:24:18Z Inference of experimental radial impurity transport on Alcator C-Mod: Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection Sciortino, F Howard, NT Marmar, ES Odstrcil, T Cao, NM Dux, R Hubbard, AE Hughes, JW Irby, JH Marzouk, YM Milanese, LM Reinke, ML Rice, JE Rodriguez-Fernandez, P Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Plasma Science and Fusion Center Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Physics Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics © 2020 IAEA, Vienna We present a fully Bayesian approach for the inference of radial profiles of impurity transport coefficients and compare its results to neoclassical, gyrofluid and gyrokinetic modeling. Using nested sampling, the Bayesian impurity transport inference (BITE) framework can handle complex parameter spaces with multiple possible solutions, offering great advantages in interpretative power and reliability with respect to previously demonstrated methods. BITE employs a forward model based on the pySTRAHL package, built on the success of the well-known STRAHL code (Dux 2003 Fusion Sci Technol. 44 708-15), to simulate impurity transport in magnetically-confined plasmas. In this paper, we focus on calcium (Ca, Z = 20) laser blow-off injections into Alcator C-Mod plasmas. Multiple Ca atomic lines are diagnosed via high-resolution x-ray imaging crystal spectroscopy and vacuum ultra-violet measurements. We analyze a sawtoothing I-mode discharge for which neoclassical and turbulent (quasilinear and non-linear) predictions are also obtained. We find good agreement in diffusion across the entire radial extent, while turbulent convection and density profile peaking are estimated to be larger in experiment than suggested by theory. Efforts and challenges associated with the inference of experimental pedestal impurity transport are discussed. 2021-10-27T19:52:00Z 2021-10-27T19:52:00Z 2020 2021-05-03T15:47:53Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/133298 en 10.1088/1741-4326/ABAE85 Nuclear Fusion Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ application/pdf IOP Publishing arXiv
spellingShingle Sciortino, F
Howard, NT
Marmar, ES
Odstrcil, T
Cao, NM
Dux, R
Hubbard, AE
Hughes, JW
Irby, JH
Marzouk, YM
Milanese, LM
Reinke, ML
Rice, JE
Rodriguez-Fernandez, P
Inference of experimental radial impurity transport on Alcator C-Mod: Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection
title Inference of experimental radial impurity transport on Alcator C-Mod: Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection
title_full Inference of experimental radial impurity transport on Alcator C-Mod: Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection
title_fullStr Inference of experimental radial impurity transport on Alcator C-Mod: Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection
title_full_unstemmed Inference of experimental radial impurity transport on Alcator C-Mod: Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection
title_short Inference of experimental radial impurity transport on Alcator C-Mod: Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection
title_sort inference of experimental radial impurity transport on alcator c mod bayesian parameter estimation and model selection
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/133298
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