Antarctic Glacial Melt as a Driver of Recent Southern Ocean Climate Trends

Recent trends in Southern Ocean (SO) climate—of surface cooling, freshening, and sea ice expansion—are not captured in historical climate simulations. Here we demonstrate that the addition of a plausible increase in Antarctic meltwater to a coupled climate model can produce a closer match to a wide...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Rye, Craig D, Marshall, John, Kelley, Maxwell, Russell, Gary, Nazarenko, Larissa S, Kostov, Yavor, Schmidt, Gavin A, Hansen, James
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2021
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/133809.2
_version_ 1811070649329778688
author Rye, Craig D
Marshall, John
Kelley, Maxwell
Russell, Gary
Nazarenko, Larissa S
Kostov, Yavor
Schmidt, Gavin A
Hansen, James
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Rye, Craig D
Marshall, John
Kelley, Maxwell
Russell, Gary
Nazarenko, Larissa S
Kostov, Yavor
Schmidt, Gavin A
Hansen, James
author_sort Rye, Craig D
collection MIT
description Recent trends in Southern Ocean (SO) climate—of surface cooling, freshening, and sea ice expansion—are not captured in historical climate simulations. Here we demonstrate that the addition of a plausible increase in Antarctic meltwater to a coupled climate model can produce a closer match to a wide range of climate trends. We use an ensemble of simulations of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies Earth system model to compute “climate response functions” (CRFs) for the addition of meltwater. These imply a cooling and freshening of the SO, an expansion of sea ice, and an increase in steric height, all consistent with observations since 1992. The CRF framework allows one to compare the efficacy of Antarctic meltwater as a driver of SO climate trends, relative to greenhouse gas and surface wind forcing. The meltwater CRFs presented here strongly suggest that interactive Antarctic ice melt should be included in climate models.
first_indexed 2024-09-23T08:39:24Z
format Article
id mit-1721.1/133809.2
institution Massachusetts Institute of Technology
language English
last_indexed 2024-09-23T08:39:24Z
publishDate 2021
publisher American Geophysical Union (AGU)
record_format dspace
spelling mit-1721.1/133809.22021-12-06T14:44:41Z Antarctic Glacial Melt as a Driver of Recent Southern Ocean Climate Trends Rye, Craig D Marshall, John Kelley, Maxwell Russell, Gary Nazarenko, Larissa S Kostov, Yavor Schmidt, Gavin A Hansen, James Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Recent trends in Southern Ocean (SO) climate—of surface cooling, freshening, and sea ice expansion—are not captured in historical climate simulations. Here we demonstrate that the addition of a plausible increase in Antarctic meltwater to a coupled climate model can produce a closer match to a wide range of climate trends. We use an ensemble of simulations of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies Earth system model to compute “climate response functions” (CRFs) for the addition of meltwater. These imply a cooling and freshening of the SO, an expansion of sea ice, and an increase in steric height, all consistent with observations since 1992. The CRF framework allows one to compare the efficacy of Antarctic meltwater as a driver of SO climate trends, relative to greenhouse gas and surface wind forcing. The meltwater CRFs presented here strongly suggest that interactive Antarctic ice melt should be included in climate models. 2021-12-06T14:44:40Z 2021-10-27T19:56:47Z 2021-12-06T14:44:40Z 2020 2021-09-17T13:19:52Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/133809.2 en 10.1029/2019GL086892 Geophysical Research Letters Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/octet-stream American Geophysical Union (AGU) MIT web domain
spellingShingle Rye, Craig D
Marshall, John
Kelley, Maxwell
Russell, Gary
Nazarenko, Larissa S
Kostov, Yavor
Schmidt, Gavin A
Hansen, James
Antarctic Glacial Melt as a Driver of Recent Southern Ocean Climate Trends
title Antarctic Glacial Melt as a Driver of Recent Southern Ocean Climate Trends
title_full Antarctic Glacial Melt as a Driver of Recent Southern Ocean Climate Trends
title_fullStr Antarctic Glacial Melt as a Driver of Recent Southern Ocean Climate Trends
title_full_unstemmed Antarctic Glacial Melt as a Driver of Recent Southern Ocean Climate Trends
title_short Antarctic Glacial Melt as a Driver of Recent Southern Ocean Climate Trends
title_sort antarctic glacial melt as a driver of recent southern ocean climate trends
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/133809.2
work_keys_str_mv AT ryecraigd antarcticglacialmeltasadriverofrecentsouthernoceanclimatetrends
AT marshalljohn antarcticglacialmeltasadriverofrecentsouthernoceanclimatetrends
AT kelleymaxwell antarcticglacialmeltasadriverofrecentsouthernoceanclimatetrends
AT russellgary antarcticglacialmeltasadriverofrecentsouthernoceanclimatetrends
AT nazarenkolarissas antarcticglacialmeltasadriverofrecentsouthernoceanclimatetrends
AT kostovyavor antarcticglacialmeltasadriverofrecentsouthernoceanclimatetrends
AT schmidtgavina antarcticglacialmeltasadriverofrecentsouthernoceanclimatetrends
AT hansenjames antarcticglacialmeltasadriverofrecentsouthernoceanclimatetrends