Wages and the Value of Nonemployment*

<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p>Nonemployment is often posited as a worker’s outside option in wage-setting models such as bargaining and wage posting. The value of nonemployment is therefore a key determinant of wages. We measure the wage effect of changes...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jäger, Simon, Schoefer, Benjamin, Young, Samuel, Zweimüller, Josef
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Oxford University Press (OUP) 2021
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/135362
_version_ 1826211216697065472
author Jäger, Simon
Schoefer, Benjamin
Young, Samuel
Zweimüller, Josef
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
Jäger, Simon
Schoefer, Benjamin
Young, Samuel
Zweimüller, Josef
author_sort Jäger, Simon
collection MIT
description <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p>Nonemployment is often posited as a worker’s outside option in wage-setting models such as bargaining and wage posting. The value of nonemployment is therefore a key determinant of wages. We measure the wage effect of changes in the value of nonemployment among initially employed workers. Our quasi-experimental variation in the value of nonemployment arises from four large reforms of unemployment insurance (UI) benefit levels in Austria. We document that wages are insensitive to UI benefit changes: point estimates imply a wage response of less than $0.01 per $1.00 UI benefit increase, and we can reject sensitivities larger than $0.03. The insensitivity holds even among workers with low wages and high predicted unemployment duration, and among job switchers hired out of unemployment. The insensitivity of wages to the nonemployment value presents a puzzle to the widely used Nash bargaining model, which predicts a sensitivity of $0.24–$0.48. Our evidence supports wage-setting models that insulate wages from the value of nonemployment.</jats:p>
first_indexed 2024-09-23T15:02:26Z
format Article
id mit-1721.1/135362
institution Massachusetts Institute of Technology
language English
last_indexed 2024-09-23T15:02:26Z
publishDate 2021
publisher Oxford University Press (OUP)
record_format dspace
spelling mit-1721.1/1353622024-01-03T18:15:32Z Wages and the Value of Nonemployment* Jäger, Simon Schoefer, Benjamin Young, Samuel Zweimüller, Josef Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p>Nonemployment is often posited as a worker’s outside option in wage-setting models such as bargaining and wage posting. The value of nonemployment is therefore a key determinant of wages. We measure the wage effect of changes in the value of nonemployment among initially employed workers. Our quasi-experimental variation in the value of nonemployment arises from four large reforms of unemployment insurance (UI) benefit levels in Austria. We document that wages are insensitive to UI benefit changes: point estimates imply a wage response of less than $0.01 per $1.00 UI benefit increase, and we can reject sensitivities larger than $0.03. The insensitivity holds even among workers with low wages and high predicted unemployment duration, and among job switchers hired out of unemployment. The insensitivity of wages to the nonemployment value presents a puzzle to the widely used Nash bargaining model, which predicts a sensitivity of $0.24–$0.48. Our evidence supports wage-setting models that insulate wages from the value of nonemployment.</jats:p> 2021-10-27T20:23:08Z 2021-10-27T20:23:08Z 2020 2021-04-02T17:11:12Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/135362 en 10.1093/QJE/QJAA016 Quarterly Journal of Economics Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ application/pdf Oxford University Press (OUP) MIT web domain
spellingShingle Jäger, Simon
Schoefer, Benjamin
Young, Samuel
Zweimüller, Josef
Wages and the Value of Nonemployment*
title Wages and the Value of Nonemployment*
title_full Wages and the Value of Nonemployment*
title_fullStr Wages and the Value of Nonemployment*
title_full_unstemmed Wages and the Value of Nonemployment*
title_short Wages and the Value of Nonemployment*
title_sort wages and the value of nonemployment
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/135362
work_keys_str_mv AT jagersimon wagesandthevalueofnonemployment
AT schoeferbenjamin wagesandthevalueofnonemployment
AT youngsamuel wagesandthevalueofnonemployment
AT zweimullerjosef wagesandthevalueofnonemployment