Uncovering the fragility of large-scale engineering projects

Abstract Engineering projects are notoriously hard to complete on-time, with project delays often theorised to propagate across interdependent activities. Here, we use a novel dataset consisting of activity networks from 14 diverse, large-scale engineering projects to uncover network...

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Main Authors: Santolini, Marc, Ellinas, Christos, Nicolaides, Christos
Other Authors: Sloan School of Management
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2021
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/136881
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author Santolini, Marc
Ellinas, Christos
Nicolaides, Christos
author2 Sloan School of Management
author_facet Sloan School of Management
Santolini, Marc
Ellinas, Christos
Nicolaides, Christos
author_sort Santolini, Marc
collection MIT
description Abstract Engineering projects are notoriously hard to complete on-time, with project delays often theorised to propagate across interdependent activities. Here, we use a novel dataset consisting of activity networks from 14 diverse, large-scale engineering projects to uncover network properties that impact timely project completion. We provide empirical evidence of perturbation cascades, where perturbations in the delivery of a single activity can impact the delivery of up to 4 activities downstream, leading to large perturbation cascades. We further show that perturbation clustering significantly affects project overall delays. Finally, we find that poorly performing projects have their highest perturbations in high reach nodes, which can lead to largest cascades, while well performing projects have perturbations in low reach nodes, resulting in localised cascades. Altogether, these findings pave the way for a network-science framework that can materially enhance the delivery of large-scale engineering projects.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1368812023-02-28T21:33:22Z Uncovering the fragility of large-scale engineering projects Santolini, Marc Ellinas, Christos Nicolaides, Christos Sloan School of Management Abstract Engineering projects are notoriously hard to complete on-time, with project delays often theorised to propagate across interdependent activities. Here, we use a novel dataset consisting of activity networks from 14 diverse, large-scale engineering projects to uncover network properties that impact timely project completion. We provide empirical evidence of perturbation cascades, where perturbations in the delivery of a single activity can impact the delivery of up to 4 activities downstream, leading to large perturbation cascades. We further show that perturbation clustering significantly affects project overall delays. Finally, we find that poorly performing projects have their highest perturbations in high reach nodes, which can lead to largest cascades, while well performing projects have perturbations in low reach nodes, resulting in localised cascades. Altogether, these findings pave the way for a network-science framework that can materially enhance the delivery of large-scale engineering projects. 2021-11-01T14:33:58Z 2021-11-01T14:33:58Z 2021-07-08 2021-07-11T03:18:03Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/136881 EPJ Data Science. 2021 Jul 08;10(1):36 PUBLISHER_CC en https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-021-00291-w Creative Commons Attribution https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ The Author(s) application/pdf Springer Berlin Heidelberg Springer Berlin Heidelberg
spellingShingle Santolini, Marc
Ellinas, Christos
Nicolaides, Christos
Uncovering the fragility of large-scale engineering projects
title Uncovering the fragility of large-scale engineering projects
title_full Uncovering the fragility of large-scale engineering projects
title_fullStr Uncovering the fragility of large-scale engineering projects
title_full_unstemmed Uncovering the fragility of large-scale engineering projects
title_short Uncovering the fragility of large-scale engineering projects
title_sort uncovering the fragility of large scale engineering projects
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/136881
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