Causal effect inference with deep latent-variable models

© 2017 Neural information processing systems foundation. All rights reserved. Learning individual-level causal effects from observational data, such as inferring the most effective medication for a specific patient, is a problem of growing importance for policy makers. The most important aspect of i...

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Format: Article
Language:English
Published: 2021
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/137336
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collection MIT
description © 2017 Neural information processing systems foundation. All rights reserved. Learning individual-level causal effects from observational data, such as inferring the most effective medication for a specific patient, is a problem of growing importance for policy makers. The most important aspect of inferring causal effects from observational data is the handling of confounders, factors that affect both an intervention and its outcome. A carefully designed observational study attempts to measure all important confounders. However, even if one does not have direct access to all confounders, there may exist noisy and uncertain measurement of proxies for confounders. We build on recent advances in latent variable modeling to simultaneously estimate the unknown latent space summarizing the confounders and the causal effect. Our method is based on Variational Autoencoders (VAE) which follow the causal structure of inference with proxies. We show our method is significantly more robust than existing methods, and matches the state-of-the-art on previous benchmarks focused on individual treatment effects.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1373362021-11-05T03:19:24Z Causal effect inference with deep latent-variable models © 2017 Neural information processing systems foundation. All rights reserved. Learning individual-level causal effects from observational data, such as inferring the most effective medication for a specific patient, is a problem of growing importance for policy makers. The most important aspect of inferring causal effects from observational data is the handling of confounders, factors that affect both an intervention and its outcome. A carefully designed observational study attempts to measure all important confounders. However, even if one does not have direct access to all confounders, there may exist noisy and uncertain measurement of proxies for confounders. We build on recent advances in latent variable modeling to simultaneously estimate the unknown latent space summarizing the confounders and the causal effect. Our method is based on Variational Autoencoders (VAE) which follow the causal structure of inference with proxies. We show our method is significantly more robust than existing methods, and matches the state-of-the-art on previous benchmarks focused on individual treatment effects. 2021-11-04T14:52:30Z 2021-11-04T14:52:30Z 2017-12 2021-03-30T13:13:31Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/ConferencePaper https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/137336 2017. "Causal effect inference with deep latent-variable models." Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 2017-December. en https://papers.nips.cc/paper/2017/hash/94b5bde6de888ddf9cde6748ad2523d1-Abstract.html Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPS)
spellingShingle Causal effect inference with deep latent-variable models
title Causal effect inference with deep latent-variable models
title_full Causal effect inference with deep latent-variable models
title_fullStr Causal effect inference with deep latent-variable models
title_full_unstemmed Causal effect inference with deep latent-variable models
title_short Causal effect inference with deep latent-variable models
title_sort causal effect inference with deep latent variable models
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/137336