Prediction in Autism Spectrum Disorder: A Systematic Review of Empirical Evidence

According to a recent influential proposal, several phenotypic features of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) may be accounted for by differences in predictive skills between individuals with ASD and neurotypical individuals. In this systematic review, we describe results from 47 studies that have empir...

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Main Authors: Cannon, Jonathan, O'Brien, Amanda M, Bungert, Lindsay, Sinha, Pawan
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/138328
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author Cannon, Jonathan
O'Brien, Amanda M
Bungert, Lindsay
Sinha, Pawan
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences
Cannon, Jonathan
O'Brien, Amanda M
Bungert, Lindsay
Sinha, Pawan
author_sort Cannon, Jonathan
collection MIT
description According to a recent influential proposal, several phenotypic features of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) may be accounted for by differences in predictive skills between individuals with ASD and neurotypical individuals. In this systematic review, we describe results from 47 studies that have empirically tested this hypothesis. We assess the results based on two observable aspects of prediction: learning a pairing between an antecedent and a consequence and responding to an antecedent in a predictive manner. Taken together, these studies suggest distinct differences in both predictive learning and predictive response. Studies documenting differences in learning predictive pairings indicate challenges in detecting such relationships especially when predictive features of an antecedent have low salience or consistency, and studies showing differences in habituation and perceptual adaptation suggest low-level predictive processing differences in ASD. These challenges may account for the observed differences in the influence of predictive priors, in spontaneous predictive movement or gaze, and in social prediction. An important goal for future research will be to better define and constrain the broad domain-general hypothesis by testing multiple types of prediction within the same individuals. Additional promising avenues include studying prediction within naturalistic contexts and assessing the effect of prediction-based intervention on supporting functional outcomes for individuals with ASD. Lay Summary: Researchers have suggested that many features of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) may be explained by differences in the prediction skills of people with ASD. We review results from 47 studies. These studies suggest that ASD may be associated with differences in the learning of predictive pairings (e.g., learning cause and effect) and in low-level predictive processing in the brain (e.g., processing repeated sounds). These findings lay the groundwork for research that can improve our understanding of ASD and inform interventions.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1383282023-08-11T17:57:37Z Prediction in Autism Spectrum Disorder: A Systematic Review of Empirical Evidence Cannon, Jonathan O'Brien, Amanda M Bungert, Lindsay Sinha, Pawan Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences According to a recent influential proposal, several phenotypic features of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) may be accounted for by differences in predictive skills between individuals with ASD and neurotypical individuals. In this systematic review, we describe results from 47 studies that have empirically tested this hypothesis. We assess the results based on two observable aspects of prediction: learning a pairing between an antecedent and a consequence and responding to an antecedent in a predictive manner. Taken together, these studies suggest distinct differences in both predictive learning and predictive response. Studies documenting differences in learning predictive pairings indicate challenges in detecting such relationships especially when predictive features of an antecedent have low salience or consistency, and studies showing differences in habituation and perceptual adaptation suggest low-level predictive processing differences in ASD. These challenges may account for the observed differences in the influence of predictive priors, in spontaneous predictive movement or gaze, and in social prediction. An important goal for future research will be to better define and constrain the broad domain-general hypothesis by testing multiple types of prediction within the same individuals. Additional promising avenues include studying prediction within naturalistic contexts and assessing the effect of prediction-based intervention on supporting functional outcomes for individuals with ASD. Lay Summary: Researchers have suggested that many features of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) may be explained by differences in the prediction skills of people with ASD. We review results from 47 studies. These studies suggest that ASD may be associated with differences in the learning of predictive pairings (e.g., learning cause and effect) and in low-level predictive processing in the brain (e.g., processing repeated sounds). These findings lay the groundwork for research that can improve our understanding of ASD and inform interventions. 2021-12-06T16:47:18Z 2021-12-06T16:47:18Z 2021 2021-12-06T16:43:10Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/138328 Cannon, Jonathan, O'Brien, Amanda M, Bungert, Lindsay and Sinha, Pawan. 2021. "Prediction in Autism Spectrum Disorder: A Systematic Review of Empirical Evidence." Autism Research, 14 (4). en 10.1002/AUR.2482 Autism Research Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ application/pdf Wiley Other repository
spellingShingle Cannon, Jonathan
O'Brien, Amanda M
Bungert, Lindsay
Sinha, Pawan
Prediction in Autism Spectrum Disorder: A Systematic Review of Empirical Evidence
title Prediction in Autism Spectrum Disorder: A Systematic Review of Empirical Evidence
title_full Prediction in Autism Spectrum Disorder: A Systematic Review of Empirical Evidence
title_fullStr Prediction in Autism Spectrum Disorder: A Systematic Review of Empirical Evidence
title_full_unstemmed Prediction in Autism Spectrum Disorder: A Systematic Review of Empirical Evidence
title_short Prediction in Autism Spectrum Disorder: A Systematic Review of Empirical Evidence
title_sort prediction in autism spectrum disorder a systematic review of empirical evidence
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/138328
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