Forecasting in international relations: Problems and prospects
The author argues that forecasting is a problem of reasoning, of reducing uncertainty, and of bounded speculation, and she identifies four types of forecasting goals: (1) understanding the unknown (i.e., prophecy), (2) controlling future outcomes, (3) understanding the overall dynamics of a system t...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | en_US |
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© Gorden and Breach Science Publishers Ltd.
2022
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1080/03050627408434390 https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/141499 |