Profiles of states as fuzzy sets: Methodological refinement of lateral pressure theory
One of the most serious challenges in international relations pertains to the theory and measurement of transformation and change. This paper proposes, and then develops a conceptual and methodological extension in the measurement of change within and across states as postulated by lateral pressure...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | en_US |
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© Informa UK Limited (trading as Taylor & Francis Group)
2022
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1080/03050620600719122 https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/141517 |
| _version_ | 1811096994456797184 |
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| author | Choucri, Nazli Wickboldt, Anne-Katrin |
| author_facet | Choucri, Nazli Wickboldt, Anne-Katrin |
| author_sort | Choucri, Nazli |
| collection | MIT |
| description | One of the most serious challenges in international relations pertains to the theory and measurement of transformation and change. This paper proposes, and then develops a conceptual and methodological extension in the measurement of change within and across states as postulated by lateral pressure theory.
It argues, and shows, that by conceptualizing the profiles of states identified by lateral pressure theory using fuzzy logic, we can systematically and precisely locate and track relative changes in the distribution of states within and across profile spaces, across geographical regions, as well as over time. This may be an important step toward identifying and possibly anticipating changes in the configuration of states, including conflict-prone constellations, before they escalate into conflict or war. It may also improve our understanding of those regions of the world and help articulate the implications of significant geopolitical changes as they occur. |
| first_indexed | 2024-09-23T16:52:39Z |
| format | Article |
| id | mit-1721.1/141517 |
| institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
| language | en_US |
| last_indexed | 2024-09-23T16:52:39Z |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publisher | © Informa UK Limited (trading as Taylor & Francis Group) |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | mit-1721.1/1415172022-05-05T16:00:27Z Profiles of states as fuzzy sets: Methodological refinement of lateral pressure theory Choucri, Nazli Wickboldt, Anne-Katrin One of the most serious challenges in international relations pertains to the theory and measurement of transformation and change. This paper proposes, and then develops a conceptual and methodological extension in the measurement of change within and across states as postulated by lateral pressure theory. It argues, and shows, that by conceptualizing the profiles of states identified by lateral pressure theory using fuzzy logic, we can systematically and precisely locate and track relative changes in the distribution of states within and across profile spaces, across geographical regions, as well as over time. This may be an important step toward identifying and possibly anticipating changes in the configuration of states, including conflict-prone constellations, before they escalate into conflict or war. It may also improve our understanding of those regions of the world and help articulate the implications of significant geopolitical changes as they occur. 2022-04-03T01:34:58Z 2022-04-03T01:34:58Z 2006 Article https://doi.org/10.1080/03050620600719122 https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/141517 Wickboldt, A.–K., & Choucri, N. (2006). Profiles of states as fuzzy sets: Methodological refinement of lateral pressure theory. International Interactions, 32(2), 153–181. en_US Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 United States http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/us/ application/pdf © Informa UK Limited (trading as Taylor & Francis Group) |
| spellingShingle | Choucri, Nazli Wickboldt, Anne-Katrin Profiles of states as fuzzy sets: Methodological refinement of lateral pressure theory |
| title | Profiles of states as fuzzy sets: Methodological refinement of lateral pressure theory |
| title_full | Profiles of states as fuzzy sets: Methodological refinement of lateral pressure theory |
| title_fullStr | Profiles of states as fuzzy sets: Methodological refinement of lateral pressure theory |
| title_full_unstemmed | Profiles of states as fuzzy sets: Methodological refinement of lateral pressure theory |
| title_short | Profiles of states as fuzzy sets: Methodological refinement of lateral pressure theory |
| title_sort | profiles of states as fuzzy sets methodological refinement of lateral pressure theory |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1080/03050620600719122 https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/141517 |
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