Evidential Deep Learning for Guided Molecular Property Prediction and Discovery

While neural networks achieve state-of-the-art performance for many molecular modeling and structure-property prediction tasks, these models can struggle with generalization to out-of-domain examples, exhibit poor sample efficiency, and produce uncalibrated predictions. In this paper, we leverage ad...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Soleimany, Ava P, Amini, Alexander, Goldman, Samuel, Rus, Daniela, Bhatia, Sangeeta N, Coley, Connor W
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Chemical Engineering
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Chemical Society (ACS) 2022
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/142794
_version_ 1811069639486078976
author Soleimany, Ava P
Amini, Alexander
Goldman, Samuel
Rus, Daniela
Bhatia, Sangeeta N
Coley, Connor W
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Chemical Engineering
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Chemical Engineering
Soleimany, Ava P
Amini, Alexander
Goldman, Samuel
Rus, Daniela
Bhatia, Sangeeta N
Coley, Connor W
author_sort Soleimany, Ava P
collection MIT
description While neural networks achieve state-of-the-art performance for many molecular modeling and structure-property prediction tasks, these models can struggle with generalization to out-of-domain examples, exhibit poor sample efficiency, and produce uncalibrated predictions. In this paper, we leverage advances in evidential deep learning to demonstrate a new approach to uncertainty quantification for neural network-based molecular structure-property prediction at no additional computational cost. We develop both evidential 2D message passing neural networks and evidential 3D atomistic neural networks and apply these networks across a range of different tasks. We demonstrate that evidential uncertainties enable (1) calibrated predictions where uncertainty correlates with error, (2) sample-efficient training through uncertainty-guided active learning, and (3) improved experimental validation rates in a retrospective virtual screening campaign. Our results suggest that evidential deep learning can provide an efficient means of uncertainty quantification useful for molecular property prediction, discovery, and design tasks in the chemical and physical sciences.
first_indexed 2024-09-23T08:13:34Z
format Article
id mit-1721.1/142794
institution Massachusetts Institute of Technology
language English
last_indexed 2024-09-23T08:13:34Z
publishDate 2022
publisher American Chemical Society (ACS)
record_format dspace
spelling mit-1721.1/1427942023-04-18T15:19:44Z Evidential Deep Learning for Guided Molecular Property Prediction and Discovery Soleimany, Ava P Amini, Alexander Goldman, Samuel Rus, Daniela Bhatia, Sangeeta N Coley, Connor W Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Chemical Engineering Harvard University--MIT Division of Health Sciences and Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Computational and Systems Biology Program Howard Hughes Medical Institute While neural networks achieve state-of-the-art performance for many molecular modeling and structure-property prediction tasks, these models can struggle with generalization to out-of-domain examples, exhibit poor sample efficiency, and produce uncalibrated predictions. In this paper, we leverage advances in evidential deep learning to demonstrate a new approach to uncertainty quantification for neural network-based molecular structure-property prediction at no additional computational cost. We develop both evidential 2D message passing neural networks and evidential 3D atomistic neural networks and apply these networks across a range of different tasks. We demonstrate that evidential uncertainties enable (1) calibrated predictions where uncertainty correlates with error, (2) sample-efficient training through uncertainty-guided active learning, and (3) improved experimental validation rates in a retrospective virtual screening campaign. Our results suggest that evidential deep learning can provide an efficient means of uncertainty quantification useful for molecular property prediction, discovery, and design tasks in the chemical and physical sciences. 2022-05-27T15:04:36Z 2022-05-27T15:04:36Z 2021 2022-05-27T14:46:22Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/142794 Soleimany, Ava P, Amini, Alexander, Goldman, Samuel, Rus, Daniela, Bhatia, Sangeeta N et al. 2021. "Evidential Deep Learning for Guided Molecular Property Prediction and Discovery." ACS Central Science, 7 (8). en 10.1021/ACSCENTSCI.1C00546 ACS Central Science Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Licens http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ application/pdf American Chemical Society (ACS) American Chemical Society
spellingShingle Soleimany, Ava P
Amini, Alexander
Goldman, Samuel
Rus, Daniela
Bhatia, Sangeeta N
Coley, Connor W
Evidential Deep Learning for Guided Molecular Property Prediction and Discovery
title Evidential Deep Learning for Guided Molecular Property Prediction and Discovery
title_full Evidential Deep Learning for Guided Molecular Property Prediction and Discovery
title_fullStr Evidential Deep Learning for Guided Molecular Property Prediction and Discovery
title_full_unstemmed Evidential Deep Learning for Guided Molecular Property Prediction and Discovery
title_short Evidential Deep Learning for Guided Molecular Property Prediction and Discovery
title_sort evidential deep learning for guided molecular property prediction and discovery
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/142794
work_keys_str_mv AT soleimanyavap evidentialdeeplearningforguidedmolecularpropertypredictionanddiscovery
AT aminialexander evidentialdeeplearningforguidedmolecularpropertypredictionanddiscovery
AT goldmansamuel evidentialdeeplearningforguidedmolecularpropertypredictionanddiscovery
AT rusdaniela evidentialdeeplearningforguidedmolecularpropertypredictionanddiscovery
AT bhatiasangeetan evidentialdeeplearningforguidedmolecularpropertypredictionanddiscovery
AT coleyconnorw evidentialdeeplearningforguidedmolecularpropertypredictionanddiscovery