Predicting drug approvals: The Novartis data science and artificial intelligence challenge

We describe a novel collaboration between academia and industry, an in-house data science and artificial intelligence challenge held by Novartis to develop machine-learning models for predicting drug-development outcomes, building upon research at MIT using data from Informa as the starting point. W...

詳細記述

書誌詳細
主要な著者: Siah, Kien Wei, Kelley, Nicholas W, Ballerstedt, Steffen, Holzhauer, Björn, Lyu, Tianmeng, Mettler, David, Sun, Sophie, Wandel, Simon, Zhong, Yang, Zhou, Bin, Pan, Shifeng, Zhou, Yingyao, Lo, Andrew W
その他の著者: Sloan School of Management. Laboratory for Financial Engineering
フォーマット: 論文
言語:English
出版事項: Elsevier BV 2022
オンライン・アクセス:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/144207
その他の書誌記述
要約:We describe a novel collaboration between academia and industry, an in-house data science and artificial intelligence challenge held by Novartis to develop machine-learning models for predicting drug-development outcomes, building upon research at MIT using data from Informa as the starting point. With over 50 cross-functional teams from 25 Novartis offices around the world participating in the challenge, the domain expertise of these Novartis researchers was leveraged to create predictive models with greater sophistication. Ultimately, two winning teams developed models that outperformed the baseline MIT model-areas under the curve of 0.88 and 0.84 versus 0.78, respectively-through state-of-the-art machine-learning algorithms and the use of newly incorporated features and data. In addition to validating the variables shown to be associated with drug approval in the earlier MIT study, the challenge also provided new insights into the drivers of drug-development success and failure.