Time Series Anomaly Detection using Prediction-Reconstruction Mixture Errors

Anomaly detection on time series data is increasingly common across various industrial domains that require monitoring metrics to prevent potential accidents and economic losses. The complications of anomaly detection revolve around a scarcity of labeled data and the need to learn temporal correlati...

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Main Author: Wong, Lawrence C.
Other Authors: Veeramachaneni, Kalyan
Format: Thesis
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2022
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/144671
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author Wong, Lawrence C.
author2 Veeramachaneni, Kalyan
author_facet Veeramachaneni, Kalyan
Wong, Lawrence C.
author_sort Wong, Lawrence C.
collection MIT
description Anomaly detection on time series data is increasingly common across various industrial domains that require monitoring metrics to prevent potential accidents and economic losses. The complications of anomaly detection revolve around a scarcity of labeled data and the need to learn temporal correlations between multiple variables. Most successful unsupervised methods either use single-timestamp prediction or reconstruct entire time series. However, these methods are not mutually exclusive and can each offer complementary perspectives. This work first explores the successes and limitations of prediction-based and reconstruction-based methods. Next, it compares the effect of attention-based architectures with LSTM-based architectures on existing models. Finally, this research proposes a novel autoencoder architecture capable of producing bi-directional predictions while simultaneously reconstructing the original time series by optimizing a joint objective function. An ablation study using a mixture of prediction and reconstruction errors demonstrates that this simple architecture outperforms other state-of-the-art models for anomaly detection on both univariate and multivariate time series.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1446712022-08-30T03:01:54Z Time Series Anomaly Detection using Prediction-Reconstruction Mixture Errors Wong, Lawrence C. Veeramachaneni, Kalyan Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Anomaly detection on time series data is increasingly common across various industrial domains that require monitoring metrics to prevent potential accidents and economic losses. The complications of anomaly detection revolve around a scarcity of labeled data and the need to learn temporal correlations between multiple variables. Most successful unsupervised methods either use single-timestamp prediction or reconstruct entire time series. However, these methods are not mutually exclusive and can each offer complementary perspectives. This work first explores the successes and limitations of prediction-based and reconstruction-based methods. Next, it compares the effect of attention-based architectures with LSTM-based architectures on existing models. Finally, this research proposes a novel autoencoder architecture capable of producing bi-directional predictions while simultaneously reconstructing the original time series by optimizing a joint objective function. An ablation study using a mixture of prediction and reconstruction errors demonstrates that this simple architecture outperforms other state-of-the-art models for anomaly detection on both univariate and multivariate time series. M.Eng. 2022-08-29T16:03:41Z 2022-08-29T16:03:41Z 2022-05 2022-05-27T16:19:10.928Z Thesis https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/144671 In Copyright - Educational Use Permitted Copyright MIT http://rightsstatements.org/page/InC-EDU/1.0/ application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Wong, Lawrence C.
Time Series Anomaly Detection using Prediction-Reconstruction Mixture Errors
title Time Series Anomaly Detection using Prediction-Reconstruction Mixture Errors
title_full Time Series Anomaly Detection using Prediction-Reconstruction Mixture Errors
title_fullStr Time Series Anomaly Detection using Prediction-Reconstruction Mixture Errors
title_full_unstemmed Time Series Anomaly Detection using Prediction-Reconstruction Mixture Errors
title_short Time Series Anomaly Detection using Prediction-Reconstruction Mixture Errors
title_sort time series anomaly detection using prediction reconstruction mixture errors
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/144671
work_keys_str_mv AT wonglawrencec timeseriesanomalydetectionusingpredictionreconstructionmixtureerrors