Environmental Impact of Space Launches and Societal Response

Space-based technologies can be valuable assets for environmental protection and for supporting Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) on Earth. However, these activities have their own share of environmental impacts. Throughout their life cycle, launch vehicles affect their local and global environme...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Sirieys, Elwyn
Other Authors: de Weck, Olivier
Format: Thesis
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2022
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/144846
http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0422-5760
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author Sirieys, Elwyn
author2 de Weck, Olivier
author_facet de Weck, Olivier
Sirieys, Elwyn
author_sort Sirieys, Elwyn
collection MIT
description Space-based technologies can be valuable assets for environmental protection and for supporting Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) on Earth. However, these activities have their own share of environmental impacts. Throughout their life cycle, launch vehicles affect their local and global environments both on Earth and in space. In particular, they generate direct emissions of combustion products into every layer of the atmosphere, inducing ozone depletion and radiative forcing. Recent literature indicates that these consequences of space launches are understudied, especially considering the space industry's projected growth. This thesis aims at assessing the situation in terms of current and future environmental impact, as well as society’s response to the issue. A historical analysis of space launch vehicle designs is conducted, based on a comprehensive record of 6,502 orbital launches for the period 1957-2021, to inform on technological evolution and implications in terms of emissions. This study suggests that, as part of today's unprecedented diversity in rocket designs, key decisions regarding engines and propellants are being made which will decide the future atmospheric impact of the industry. Trends in the space sector are analyzed and scenarios are generated to assess the future situation. For the first time, societal response to this issue is analyzed quantitatively and compared with three case studies in the automotive industry, the satellite industry, and aviation. A total of 463,630,586 news articles, 771,604 legal documents, 10,836,398 academic publications over 30 years were examined. Alternative paths forward are proposed to foster a more sustainable future for the space launch industry, in terms of actionable design choices, impact assessment methodologies, regulatory options, and market-based incentivization mechanisms based on a sustainability index for launch vehicles.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1448462022-08-30T04:01:06Z Environmental Impact of Space Launches and Societal Response Sirieys, Elwyn de Weck, Olivier Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Institute for Data, Systems, and Society Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics Space-based technologies can be valuable assets for environmental protection and for supporting Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) on Earth. However, these activities have their own share of environmental impacts. Throughout their life cycle, launch vehicles affect their local and global environments both on Earth and in space. In particular, they generate direct emissions of combustion products into every layer of the atmosphere, inducing ozone depletion and radiative forcing. Recent literature indicates that these consequences of space launches are understudied, especially considering the space industry's projected growth. This thesis aims at assessing the situation in terms of current and future environmental impact, as well as society’s response to the issue. A historical analysis of space launch vehicle designs is conducted, based on a comprehensive record of 6,502 orbital launches for the period 1957-2021, to inform on technological evolution and implications in terms of emissions. This study suggests that, as part of today's unprecedented diversity in rocket designs, key decisions regarding engines and propellants are being made which will decide the future atmospheric impact of the industry. Trends in the space sector are analyzed and scenarios are generated to assess the future situation. For the first time, societal response to this issue is analyzed quantitatively and compared with three case studies in the automotive industry, the satellite industry, and aviation. A total of 463,630,586 news articles, 771,604 legal documents, 10,836,398 academic publications over 30 years were examined. Alternative paths forward are proposed to foster a more sustainable future for the space launch industry, in terms of actionable design choices, impact assessment methodologies, regulatory options, and market-based incentivization mechanisms based on a sustainability index for launch vehicles. S.M. S.M. 2022-08-29T16:15:51Z 2022-08-29T16:15:51Z 2022-05 2022-06-09T16:14:54.533Z Thesis https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/144846 http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0422-5760 In Copyright - Educational Use Permitted Copyright MIT http://rightsstatements.org/page/InC-EDU/1.0/ application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Sirieys, Elwyn
Environmental Impact of Space Launches and Societal Response
title Environmental Impact of Space Launches and Societal Response
title_full Environmental Impact of Space Launches and Societal Response
title_fullStr Environmental Impact of Space Launches and Societal Response
title_full_unstemmed Environmental Impact of Space Launches and Societal Response
title_short Environmental Impact of Space Launches and Societal Response
title_sort environmental impact of space launches and societal response
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/144846
http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0422-5760
work_keys_str_mv AT sirieyselwyn environmentalimpactofspacelaunchesandsocietalresponse