Optimal Decision Rules for Weak GMM

<jats:p>This paper studies optimal decision rules, including estimators and tests, for weakly identified GMM models. We derive the limit experiment for weakly identified GMM, and propose a theoretically‐motivated class of priors which give rise to quasi‐Bayes decision rules as a limiting case....

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Andrews, Isaiah, Mikusheva, Anna
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Econometric Society 2022
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/145192
Description
Summary:<jats:p>This paper studies optimal decision rules, including estimators and tests, for weakly identified GMM models. We derive the limit experiment for weakly identified GMM, and propose a theoretically‐motivated class of priors which give rise to quasi‐Bayes decision rules as a limiting case. Together with results in the previous literature, this establishes desirable properties for the quasi‐Bayes approach regardless of model identification status, and we recommend quasi‐Bayes for settings where identification is a concern. We further propose weighted average power‐optimal identification‐robust frequentist tests and confidence sets, and prove a Bernstein‐von Mises‐type result for the quasi‐Bayes posterior under weak identification.</jats:p>