Present and future land surface and wet bulb temperatures in the Arabian Peninsula
<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p>The Arabian Peninsula exhibits extreme hot summers and has one of the world’s largest population growths. We use satellite observations and reanalysis as well as climate model projections to analyze morning and evening land...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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IOP Publishing
2023
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Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/148546 |
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author | Safieddine, S Clerbaux, C Clarisse, L Whitburn, S Eltahir, EAB |
author2 | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering |
author_facet | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Safieddine, S Clerbaux, C Clarisse, L Whitburn, S Eltahir, EAB |
author_sort | Safieddine, S |
collection | MIT |
description | <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title>
<jats:p>The Arabian Peninsula exhibits extreme hot summers and has one of the world’s largest population growths. We use satellite observations and reanalysis as well as climate model projections to analyze morning and evening land surface temperatures (LSTs), to refer to processes at the surface, and wet bulb temperatures (WBTs) to measure human heat stress. We focus on three regions: the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman, the inland capital of Saudi Arabia, Riyadh and the irrigated agricultural region in Al-Jouf, Saudi Arabia. This study shows that the time of day is important when studying LST and WBT, with current and future WBT higher in the early summer evenings. It also shows that the effect of humidity brought from waterbodies or through irrigation can significantly increase heat stress. Over the coasts of the Peninsula, humidity decreases LST but increases heat stress via WBT values higher than 25 °C in the evening. Riyadh, located in the heart of the Peninsula has lower WBT of 15 °C–17.5 °C and LST reaching 42.5 °C. Irrigation in the Al-Jouf province decreases LST by up to 10° with respect to its surroundings, while it increases WBT by up to 2.5°. Climate projections over the Arabian Peninsula suggest that global efforts will determine the survivability in this region. The projected increase in LST and WBT are +6 °C and +4 °C, respectively, in the Persian Gulf and Riyadh by the end of the century, posing significant risks on human survivability in the Peninsula unless strict climate mitigation takes place.</jats:p> |
first_indexed | 2024-09-23T15:42:54Z |
format | Article |
id | mit-1721.1/148546 |
institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-09-23T15:42:54Z |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | IOP Publishing |
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spelling | mit-1721.1/1485462023-03-15T03:06:14Z Present and future land surface and wet bulb temperatures in the Arabian Peninsula Safieddine, S Clerbaux, C Clarisse, L Whitburn, S Eltahir, EAB Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p>The Arabian Peninsula exhibits extreme hot summers and has one of the world’s largest population growths. We use satellite observations and reanalysis as well as climate model projections to analyze morning and evening land surface temperatures (LSTs), to refer to processes at the surface, and wet bulb temperatures (WBTs) to measure human heat stress. We focus on three regions: the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman, the inland capital of Saudi Arabia, Riyadh and the irrigated agricultural region in Al-Jouf, Saudi Arabia. This study shows that the time of day is important when studying LST and WBT, with current and future WBT higher in the early summer evenings. It also shows that the effect of humidity brought from waterbodies or through irrigation can significantly increase heat stress. Over the coasts of the Peninsula, humidity decreases LST but increases heat stress via WBT values higher than 25 °C in the evening. Riyadh, located in the heart of the Peninsula has lower WBT of 15 °C–17.5 °C and LST reaching 42.5 °C. Irrigation in the Al-Jouf province decreases LST by up to 10° with respect to its surroundings, while it increases WBT by up to 2.5°. Climate projections over the Arabian Peninsula suggest that global efforts will determine the survivability in this region. The projected increase in LST and WBT are +6 °C and +4 °C, respectively, in the Persian Gulf and Riyadh by the end of the century, posing significant risks on human survivability in the Peninsula unless strict climate mitigation takes place.</jats:p> 2023-03-14T17:34:59Z 2023-03-14T17:34:59Z 2022 2023-03-14T17:31:01Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/148546 Safieddine, S, Clerbaux, C, Clarisse, L, Whitburn, S and Eltahir, EAB. 2022. "Present and future land surface and wet bulb temperatures in the Arabian Peninsula." Environmental Research Letters, 17 (4). en 10.1088/1748-9326/AC507C Environmental Research Letters Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ application/pdf IOP Publishing IOP Publishing |
spellingShingle | Safieddine, S Clerbaux, C Clarisse, L Whitburn, S Eltahir, EAB Present and future land surface and wet bulb temperatures in the Arabian Peninsula |
title | Present and future land surface and wet bulb temperatures in the Arabian Peninsula |
title_full | Present and future land surface and wet bulb temperatures in the Arabian Peninsula |
title_fullStr | Present and future land surface and wet bulb temperatures in the Arabian Peninsula |
title_full_unstemmed | Present and future land surface and wet bulb temperatures in the Arabian Peninsula |
title_short | Present and future land surface and wet bulb temperatures in the Arabian Peninsula |
title_sort | present and future land surface and wet bulb temperatures in the arabian peninsula |
url | https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/148546 |
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