The impact of Federal Reserve’s policies on the residential mortgage markets

Post Global Financial Crisis (GFC), the Federal Reserve adopted a new tool for temporary quantitative easing (QE) by purchasing agency mortgage-backed securities and Treasury securities from the market in an attempt to resurrect the economy. This unconventional method of restoring the capital market...

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Main Authors: Raipelly, Rahul Sharad, Wamakima, Corazon
Other Authors: Torous, Walter
Format: Thesis
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2023
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/150044
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author Raipelly, Rahul Sharad
Wamakima, Corazon
author2 Torous, Walter
author_facet Torous, Walter
Raipelly, Rahul Sharad
Wamakima, Corazon
author_sort Raipelly, Rahul Sharad
collection MIT
description Post Global Financial Crisis (GFC), the Federal Reserve adopted a new tool for temporary quantitative easing (QE) by purchasing agency mortgage-backed securities and Treasury securities from the market in an attempt to resurrect the economy. This unconventional method of restoring the capital markets proved innovative and effective. During the COVID pandemic, the Federal Reserve continued to purchase more securities to stabilize the markets resulting in a vast expansion in its balance sheet. In the current inflationary environment (2022), the Federal Reserve is running losses on the balance sheet as it increases the interest rates as part of its quantitative tightening policies; the Federal Reserve must consider whether to sell its current MBS holdings according to its plan or hold on to the portfolio. The residential mortgage market faces additional liquidity pressures and uncertainty with limited Federal Reserve support. Inspecting the spread between the 10-year Treasury yield and fixed 30-year mortgage rates during times of crisis and stable markets, this thesis investigates current market uncertainty and the impact of shocks that increase the spread, which translates into higher mortgage rates and lower affordability for the borrower. This thesis concludes the asymmetry of Federal Reserve policies may never work but adds uncertainty to the residential mortgage markets.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1500442023-04-01T03:14:04Z The impact of Federal Reserve’s policies on the residential mortgage markets Raipelly, Rahul Sharad Wamakima, Corazon Torous, Walter Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Real Estate. Program in Real Estate Development. Post Global Financial Crisis (GFC), the Federal Reserve adopted a new tool for temporary quantitative easing (QE) by purchasing agency mortgage-backed securities and Treasury securities from the market in an attempt to resurrect the economy. This unconventional method of restoring the capital markets proved innovative and effective. During the COVID pandemic, the Federal Reserve continued to purchase more securities to stabilize the markets resulting in a vast expansion in its balance sheet. In the current inflationary environment (2022), the Federal Reserve is running losses on the balance sheet as it increases the interest rates as part of its quantitative tightening policies; the Federal Reserve must consider whether to sell its current MBS holdings according to its plan or hold on to the portfolio. The residential mortgage market faces additional liquidity pressures and uncertainty with limited Federal Reserve support. Inspecting the spread between the 10-year Treasury yield and fixed 30-year mortgage rates during times of crisis and stable markets, this thesis investigates current market uncertainty and the impact of shocks that increase the spread, which translates into higher mortgage rates and lower affordability for the borrower. This thesis concludes the asymmetry of Federal Reserve policies may never work but adds uncertainty to the residential mortgage markets. S.M. 2023-03-31T14:27:56Z 2023-03-31T14:27:56Z 2023-02 2023-02-09T15:53:02.382Z Thesis https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/150044 In Copyright - Educational Use Permitted Copyright retained by author(s) https://rightsstatements.org/page/InC-EDU/1.0/ application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Raipelly, Rahul Sharad
Wamakima, Corazon
The impact of Federal Reserve’s policies on the residential mortgage markets
title The impact of Federal Reserve’s policies on the residential mortgage markets
title_full The impact of Federal Reserve’s policies on the residential mortgage markets
title_fullStr The impact of Federal Reserve’s policies on the residential mortgage markets
title_full_unstemmed The impact of Federal Reserve’s policies on the residential mortgage markets
title_short The impact of Federal Reserve’s policies on the residential mortgage markets
title_sort impact of federal reserve s policies on the residential mortgage markets
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/150044
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