Assessing compounding risks across multiple systems and sectors: a socio-environmental systems risk-triage approach

Physical and societal risks across the natural, managed, and built environments are becoming increasingly complex, multi-faceted, and compounding. Such risks stem from socio-economic and environmental stresses that co-evolve and force tipping points and instabilities. Robust decision-making necessit...

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Main Authors: Schlosser, C. Adam, Frankenfeld, Cypress, Eastham, Sebastian, Gao, Xiang, Gurgel, Angelo, McCluskey, Alyssa, Morris, Jennifer, Orzach, Shelli, Rouge, Kilian, Paltsev, Sergey, Reilly, John
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Joint Program on the Science & Policy of Global Change
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: Frontiers Media SA 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/153234
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author Schlosser, C. Adam
Frankenfeld, Cypress
Eastham, Sebastian
Gao, Xiang
Gurgel, Angelo
McCluskey, Alyssa
Morris, Jennifer
Orzach, Shelli
Rouge, Kilian
Paltsev, Sergey
Reilly, John
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Joint Program on the Science & Policy of Global Change
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Joint Program on the Science & Policy of Global Change
Schlosser, C. Adam
Frankenfeld, Cypress
Eastham, Sebastian
Gao, Xiang
Gurgel, Angelo
McCluskey, Alyssa
Morris, Jennifer
Orzach, Shelli
Rouge, Kilian
Paltsev, Sergey
Reilly, John
author_sort Schlosser, C. Adam
collection MIT
description Physical and societal risks across the natural, managed, and built environments are becoming increasingly complex, multi-faceted, and compounding. Such risks stem from socio-economic and environmental stresses that co-evolve and force tipping points and instabilities. Robust decision-making necessitates extensive analyses and model assessments for insights toward solutions. However, these exercises are consumptive in terms of computational and investigative resources. In practical terms, such exercises cannot be performed extensively—but selectively in terms of priority and scale. Therefore, an efficient analysis platform is needed through which the variety of multi-systems/sector observational and simulated data can be readily incorporated, combined, diagnosed, visualized, and in doing so, identifies “hotspots” of salient compounding threats. In view of this, we have constructed a “triage-based” visualization and data-sharing platform—the System for the Triage of Risks from Environmental and Socio-Economic Stressors (STRESS)—that brings together data across socio-environmental systems, economics, demographics, health, biodiversity, and infrastructure. Through the STRESS website, users can display risk indices that result from weighted combinations of risk metrics they can select. Currently, these risk metrics include land-, water-, and energy systems, biodiversity, as well as demographics, environmental equity, and transportation networks. We highlight the utility of the STRESS platform through several demonstrative analyses over the United States from the national to county level. The STRESS is an open-science tool and available to the community-at-large. We will continue to develop it with an open, accessible, and interactive approach, including academics, researchers, industry, and the general public.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1532342024-01-24T21:55:24Z Assessing compounding risks across multiple systems and sectors: a socio-environmental systems risk-triage approach Schlosser, C. Adam Frankenfeld, Cypress Eastham, Sebastian Gao, Xiang Gurgel, Angelo McCluskey, Alyssa Morris, Jennifer Orzach, Shelli Rouge, Kilian Paltsev, Sergey Reilly, John Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Joint Program on the Science & Policy of Global Change Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Laboratory for Aviation and the Environment Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law Atmospheric Science Pollution Environmental Science (miscellaneous) Global and Planetary Change Physical and societal risks across the natural, managed, and built environments are becoming increasingly complex, multi-faceted, and compounding. Such risks stem from socio-economic and environmental stresses that co-evolve and force tipping points and instabilities. Robust decision-making necessitates extensive analyses and model assessments for insights toward solutions. However, these exercises are consumptive in terms of computational and investigative resources. In practical terms, such exercises cannot be performed extensively—but selectively in terms of priority and scale. Therefore, an efficient analysis platform is needed through which the variety of multi-systems/sector observational and simulated data can be readily incorporated, combined, diagnosed, visualized, and in doing so, identifies “hotspots” of salient compounding threats. In view of this, we have constructed a “triage-based” visualization and data-sharing platform—the System for the Triage of Risks from Environmental and Socio-Economic Stressors (STRESS)—that brings together data across socio-environmental systems, economics, demographics, health, biodiversity, and infrastructure. Through the STRESS website, users can display risk indices that result from weighted combinations of risk metrics they can select. Currently, these risk metrics include land-, water-, and energy systems, biodiversity, as well as demographics, environmental equity, and transportation networks. We highlight the utility of the STRESS platform through several demonstrative analyses over the United States from the national to county level. The STRESS is an open-science tool and available to the community-at-large. We will continue to develop it with an open, accessible, and interactive approach, including academics, researchers, industry, and the general public. 2023-12-22T15:27:37Z 2023-12-22T15:27:37Z 2023-04-24 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 2624-9553 https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/153234 Schlosser CA, Frankenfeld C, Eastham S, Gao X, Gurgel A, McCluskey A, Morris J, Orzach S, Rouge K, Paltsev S and Reilly J (2023) Assessing compounding risks across multiple systems and sectors: a socio-environmental systems risk-triage approach. Front. Clim. 5:1100600. en_US 10.3389/fclim.2023.1100600 Creative Commons Attribution https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ application/pdf Frontiers Media SA Frontiers Media SA
spellingShingle Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
Atmospheric Science
Pollution
Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
Global and Planetary Change
Schlosser, C. Adam
Frankenfeld, Cypress
Eastham, Sebastian
Gao, Xiang
Gurgel, Angelo
McCluskey, Alyssa
Morris, Jennifer
Orzach, Shelli
Rouge, Kilian
Paltsev, Sergey
Reilly, John
Assessing compounding risks across multiple systems and sectors: a socio-environmental systems risk-triage approach
title Assessing compounding risks across multiple systems and sectors: a socio-environmental systems risk-triage approach
title_full Assessing compounding risks across multiple systems and sectors: a socio-environmental systems risk-triage approach
title_fullStr Assessing compounding risks across multiple systems and sectors: a socio-environmental systems risk-triage approach
title_full_unstemmed Assessing compounding risks across multiple systems and sectors: a socio-environmental systems risk-triage approach
title_short Assessing compounding risks across multiple systems and sectors: a socio-environmental systems risk-triage approach
title_sort assessing compounding risks across multiple systems and sectors a socio environmental systems risk triage approach
topic Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
Atmospheric Science
Pollution
Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
Global and Planetary Change
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/153234
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