Climate Impact Analysis of Direct Air Capture Deployment

Direct air capture (DAC) is a negative emissions technology (NET) that can contribute to mitigating climate change impacts by extracting CO₂ from the atmosphere. Given its low technical maturity, uncertainties persist regarding DAC's cost, scalability, and life-cycle emissions. In this analysis...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Housen, Tara
Other Authors: Barrett, Steven R. H.
Format: Thesis
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2024
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/155419
_version_ 1826214125776142336
author Housen, Tara
author2 Barrett, Steven R. H.
author_facet Barrett, Steven R. H.
Housen, Tara
author_sort Housen, Tara
collection MIT
description Direct air capture (DAC) is a negative emissions technology (NET) that can contribute to mitigating climate change impacts by extracting CO₂ from the atmosphere. Given its low technical maturity, uncertainties persist regarding DAC's cost, scalability, and life-cycle emissions. In this analysis I assess liquid and solid DAC technologies powered by various energy sources to provide insights into its current and future economic viability and its net GHG emissions impact. My findings show electric DAC configurations relying on renewable electricity have high carbon removal efficiency and relatively low cost. Additionally, I quantify the climate impact of large-scale global DAC deployment with investments of 0.5%, 1%, 1.5%, and 2% of the global GDP. I integrate electric DAC plants powered by renewable energy with co-located CO₂ storage sites. This analysis reveals that for scenarios with high anthropogenic emissions, DAC investments of up to 2% of global GDP cannot stabilize CO₂ concentrations. The results indicate that the 1.5°C goal can be achieved with an investment of 1.5% of the global GDP if cumulative emissions remain within 1178 GtCO₂; or with an investment of 0.5% of the global GDP if cumulative emissions remain within 981 GtCO₂. Alternatively, the 2°C goal can be achieved with an investment of 1.5% of the global GDP if cumulative emissions remain within 2750 GtCO₂; or with an investment of 0.5% of the global GDP if cumulative emissions remain within 1178 GtCO₂.
first_indexed 2024-09-23T16:00:13Z
format Thesis
id mit-1721.1/155419
institution Massachusetts Institute of Technology
last_indexed 2024-09-23T16:00:13Z
publishDate 2024
publisher Massachusetts Institute of Technology
record_format dspace
spelling mit-1721.1/1554192024-06-28T03:05:20Z Climate Impact Analysis of Direct Air Capture Deployment Housen, Tara Barrett, Steven R. H. Allroggen, Florian Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics Direct air capture (DAC) is a negative emissions technology (NET) that can contribute to mitigating climate change impacts by extracting CO₂ from the atmosphere. Given its low technical maturity, uncertainties persist regarding DAC's cost, scalability, and life-cycle emissions. In this analysis I assess liquid and solid DAC technologies powered by various energy sources to provide insights into its current and future economic viability and its net GHG emissions impact. My findings show electric DAC configurations relying on renewable electricity have high carbon removal efficiency and relatively low cost. Additionally, I quantify the climate impact of large-scale global DAC deployment with investments of 0.5%, 1%, 1.5%, and 2% of the global GDP. I integrate electric DAC plants powered by renewable energy with co-located CO₂ storage sites. This analysis reveals that for scenarios with high anthropogenic emissions, DAC investments of up to 2% of global GDP cannot stabilize CO₂ concentrations. The results indicate that the 1.5°C goal can be achieved with an investment of 1.5% of the global GDP if cumulative emissions remain within 1178 GtCO₂; or with an investment of 0.5% of the global GDP if cumulative emissions remain within 981 GtCO₂. Alternatively, the 2°C goal can be achieved with an investment of 1.5% of the global GDP if cumulative emissions remain within 2750 GtCO₂; or with an investment of 0.5% of the global GDP if cumulative emissions remain within 1178 GtCO₂. S.M. 2024-06-27T19:52:08Z 2024-06-27T19:52:08Z 2024-05 2024-05-28T19:36:11.667Z Thesis https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/155419 In Copyright - Educational Use Permitted Copyright retained by author(s) https://rightsstatements.org/page/InC-EDU/1.0/ application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Housen, Tara
Climate Impact Analysis of Direct Air Capture Deployment
title Climate Impact Analysis of Direct Air Capture Deployment
title_full Climate Impact Analysis of Direct Air Capture Deployment
title_fullStr Climate Impact Analysis of Direct Air Capture Deployment
title_full_unstemmed Climate Impact Analysis of Direct Air Capture Deployment
title_short Climate Impact Analysis of Direct Air Capture Deployment
title_sort climate impact analysis of direct air capture deployment
url https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/155419
work_keys_str_mv AT housentara climateimpactanalysisofdirectaircapturedeployment