A dynamic input-output model to project U.S. freight transportation demand

Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, Technology and Policy Program; and, (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 2002.

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Voigtlaender, Nico, 1977-
Other Authors: Andreas Schafer and Karen R. Polenske.
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2006
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/30030
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author Voigtlaender, Nico, 1977-
author2 Andreas Schafer and Karen R. Polenske.
author_facet Andreas Schafer and Karen R. Polenske.
Voigtlaender, Nico, 1977-
author_sort Voigtlaender, Nico, 1977-
collection MIT
description Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, Technology and Policy Program; and, (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 2002.
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spelling mit-1721.1/300302022-01-31T20:04:33Z A dynamic input-output model to project U.S. freight transportation demand Dynamic I-O model to project United States freight transportation demand Voigtlaender, Nico, 1977- Andreas Schafer and Karen R. Polenske. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division Technology and Policy Program Technology and Policy Program. Civil and Environmental Engineering. Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, Technology and Policy Program; and, (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 2002. Includes bibliographical references (p. 159-161). Understanding and modeling U.S. freight transportation demand is essential for infrastructure planning, the development of transportation-related regulatory frameworks, and the assessment of environmental implications. However, existing models that forecast U.S. freight transportation demand are very complicated and require a vast computational effort. In the following, I develop a simpler, yet more effective, model to project economic performance and the resulting freight transportation demand. I analyze and project economic growth and structural change using an input-output framework. This economic part of my model projects U.S. commodity output values for the next two decades. In the second part of my model, commodity values are transformed into quantities of freight transportation demand. The latter are the basis for deriving environmental implications of growing freight shipment activities. In the analysis of model outputs, I examine a significant trend towards relatively light, high-value commodities, which reflects ongoing dematerialization in the U.S. economy. Nevertheless, these commodities promote a shift towards faster, more energy-intensive freight transport modes, which gives reason for environmental concern and requires regulatory action to support less carbon-intensive freight transportation. by Nico Voigtlaender. S.M. 2006-03-24T18:13:18Z 2006-03-24T18:13:18Z 2002 2002 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/30030 55087794 eng M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 161 p. 8783266 bytes 8783075 bytes application/pdf application/pdf application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Technology and Policy Program.
Civil and Environmental Engineering.
Voigtlaender, Nico, 1977-
A dynamic input-output model to project U.S. freight transportation demand
title A dynamic input-output model to project U.S. freight transportation demand
title_full A dynamic input-output model to project U.S. freight transportation demand
title_fullStr A dynamic input-output model to project U.S. freight transportation demand
title_full_unstemmed A dynamic input-output model to project U.S. freight transportation demand
title_short A dynamic input-output model to project U.S. freight transportation demand
title_sort dynamic input output model to project u s freight transportation demand
topic Technology and Policy Program.
Civil and Environmental Engineering.
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/30030
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