Evaluating flexibility in railroad construction projects

Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 2005.

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Oh, Choong Ryun, 1972-
Other Authors: Fred Moavenzadeh.
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2006
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/31146
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author Oh, Choong Ryun, 1972-
author2 Fred Moavenzadeh.
author_facet Fred Moavenzadeh.
Oh, Choong Ryun, 1972-
author_sort Oh, Choong Ryun, 1972-
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description Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 2005.
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spelling mit-1721.1/311462019-04-11T11:42:20Z Evaluating flexibility in railroad construction projects Oh, Choong Ryun, 1972- Fred Moavenzadeh. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering. Civil and Environmental Engineering. Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 2005. Includes bibliographical references (p. 103-104). This thesis aims to valuate flexibilities in a large-scale railroad construction project. In general, a railroad construction project involves a large amount of flexibilities due to its long construction period and conflicts among various participants. Therefore, railroad construction projects require investors to examine the feasibility of the project, taking into account managers' ability to make strategic decisions to deal with flexibilities during the construction. However. this important value is not considered in conventional valuation methods, such as Net Present Value (NPV) or Internal Rate of Return (IRR) analysis. This study introduces methods to identify and valuate the flexibilities involved in a project. Decision Tree Analysis (DTA) and Real Option Analysis (ROA) are mainly discussed as primary methods to avoid pitfalls of the conventional valuation methods. DTA helps managers to make future decisions in an effective way by providing graphical diagrams of decision opportunities. ROA appraises the value of mitigating risks by allowing managers to defer investing decisions until a situation that affects a project's success seriously becomes obvious. As a case study, the additional station construction projects in Incheon International Airport Railroad (IIAR) are analyzed to apply the methodologies to valuate the flexibilities. The case study shows that the use of DTA and ROA enables us to visualize the risks, and to quantify the value of flexibilities in the project. by Choong Ryun Oh. S.M. 2006-02-02T18:52:42Z 2006-02-02T18:52:42Z 2005 2005 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/31146 61186123 eng M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 104 p. 5721659 bytes 5733985 bytes application/pdf application/pdf application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Civil and Environmental Engineering.
Oh, Choong Ryun, 1972-
Evaluating flexibility in railroad construction projects
title Evaluating flexibility in railroad construction projects
title_full Evaluating flexibility in railroad construction projects
title_fullStr Evaluating flexibility in railroad construction projects
title_full_unstemmed Evaluating flexibility in railroad construction projects
title_short Evaluating flexibility in railroad construction projects
title_sort evaluating flexibility in railroad construction projects
topic Civil and Environmental Engineering.
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/31146
work_keys_str_mv AT ohchoongryun1972 evaluatingflexibilityinrailroadconstructionprojects