Market and Infrastructure Analysis of Future Air Cargo Demand in China
This paper describes an analysis of future air cargo demand in China and its implications for system infrastructure. By extrapolating current trends and evaluating government policies, China is projected to achieve sustained economic development over the next 20 years. Based on this assumption,...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Technical Report |
| Language: | en_US |
| Published: |
2007
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/35819 |
| _version_ | 1811085177209749504 |
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| author | Jiang, H. Ren, L. Hansman, R. J. |
| author_facet | Jiang, H. Ren, L. Hansman, R. J. |
| author_sort | Jiang, H. |
| collection | MIT |
| description | This paper describes an analysis of future air cargo
demand in China and its implications for system
infrastructure. By extrapolating current trends and
evaluating government policies, China is projected to
achieve sustained economic development over the next
20 years. Based on this assumption, a forecast for
future air cargo demand is made for the period through
2020 using econometric methods. The forecast projects
air cargo traffic growth at 11.2% per annum, expanding
more than seven fold by 2020 – resulting in an expected
27 million tonnes cargo throughput originating from
Chinese airports. A baseline forecast for the cargo
throughput at the major hubs and large airports in
mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan is presented. |
| first_indexed | 2024-09-23T13:04:21Z |
| format | Technical Report |
| id | mit-1721.1/35819 |
| institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
| language | en_US |
| last_indexed | 2024-09-23T13:04:21Z |
| publishDate | 2007 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | mit-1721.1/358192019-04-12T08:35:45Z Market and Infrastructure Analysis of Future Air Cargo Demand in China Jiang, H. Ren, L. Hansman, R. J. Air Cargo China air transportation This paper describes an analysis of future air cargo demand in China and its implications for system infrastructure. By extrapolating current trends and evaluating government policies, China is projected to achieve sustained economic development over the next 20 years. Based on this assumption, a forecast for future air cargo demand is made for the period through 2020 using econometric methods. The forecast projects air cargo traffic growth at 11.2% per annum, expanding more than seven fold by 2020 – resulting in an expected 27 million tonnes cargo throughput originating from Chinese airports. A baseline forecast for the cargo throughput at the major hubs and large airports in mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan is presented. The authors would like to thank Mr. Boxue Wang at Aviation Industry Development Research Center of China for providing some 2002 CAAC data and R. Dixon Speas Fellowship for partially supporting the research. 2007-01-26T19:57:36Z 2007-01-26T19:57:36Z 2003-11-17 Technical Report http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/35819 AIAA's 3rd Annual Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations (ATIO) Forum, Denver, Colorado, Nov. 17-19, 2003 en_US AIAA-2003-6770 852656 bytes application/pdf application/pdf |
| spellingShingle | Air Cargo China air transportation Jiang, H. Ren, L. Hansman, R. J. Market and Infrastructure Analysis of Future Air Cargo Demand in China |
| title | Market and Infrastructure Analysis of Future Air Cargo Demand in China |
| title_full | Market and Infrastructure Analysis of Future Air Cargo Demand in China |
| title_fullStr | Market and Infrastructure Analysis of Future Air Cargo Demand in China |
| title_full_unstemmed | Market and Infrastructure Analysis of Future Air Cargo Demand in China |
| title_short | Market and Infrastructure Analysis of Future Air Cargo Demand in China |
| title_sort | market and infrastructure analysis of future air cargo demand in china |
| topic | Air Cargo China air transportation |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/35819 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT jiangh marketandinfrastructureanalysisoffutureaircargodemandinchina AT renl marketandinfrastructureanalysisoffutureaircargodemandinchina AT hansmanrj marketandinfrastructureanalysisoffutureaircargodemandinchina |