Influence modeling of complex stochastic processes

Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, School of Architecture and Planning, Program in Media Arts and Sciences, 2006.

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Dong, Wen
Other Authors: Alex (Sandy) Pentland.
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2007
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/37386
_version_ 1826191591672381440
author Dong, Wen
author2 Alex (Sandy) Pentland.
author_facet Alex (Sandy) Pentland.
Dong, Wen
author_sort Dong, Wen
collection MIT
description Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, School of Architecture and Planning, Program in Media Arts and Sciences, 2006.
first_indexed 2024-09-23T08:58:18Z
format Thesis
id mit-1721.1/37386
institution Massachusetts Institute of Technology
language eng
last_indexed 2024-09-23T08:58:18Z
publishDate 2007
publisher Massachusetts Institute of Technology
record_format dspace
spelling mit-1721.1/373862022-05-26T02:19:18Z Influence modeling of complex stochastic processes Dong, Wen Alex (Sandy) Pentland. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Architecture. Program In Media Arts and Sciences Program in Media Arts and Sciences (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) Architecture. Program In Media Arts and Sciences Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, School of Architecture and Planning, Program in Media Arts and Sciences, 2006. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 75-76). A complex stochastic process involving human behaviors or human group behaviors is computationally hard to model with a hidden Markov process. This is because the state space of such behaviors is often a Cartesian product of a large number of constituent probability spaces, and is exponentially large. A sample for those stochastic processes is normally composed of a large collection of heterogeneous constituent samples. How to combine those heterogeneous constituent samples in a consistent and stable way is another difficulty for the hidden Markov process modeling. A latent structure influence process models human behaviors and human group behaviors by emulating the work of a team of experts. In such a team, each expert concentrates on one constituent probability space, investigates one type of constituent samples, and/or employ one type of technique. An expert improves his work by considering the results from the other experts, instead of the raw data for them. Compared with the hidden Markov process, the latent structure influence process is more expressive, more stable to outliers, and less likely to overfit. It can be used to study the interaction of over 100 persons and get good results. (cont.) This thesis is organized in the following way. Chapter 0 reviews the notation and the background concepts necessary to develop this thesis. Chapter 1 describes the intuition behind the latent structure influence process and the situations where it outperforms the other dynamic models. In Chapter 2, we give inference algorithms based on two different interpretations of the influence model. Chapter 3 applies the influence algorithms to various toy data sets and real-world data sets. We hope our demonstrations of the influence modeling could serve as templates for the readers to develop other applications. In Chapter 4, we conclude with the rationale and other considerations for influence modeling. by Wen Dong. S.M. 2007-05-16T18:28:40Z 2007-05-16T18:28:40Z 2006 2006 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/37386 122905859 eng M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 76 leaves application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Architecture. Program In Media Arts and Sciences
Dong, Wen
Influence modeling of complex stochastic processes
title Influence modeling of complex stochastic processes
title_full Influence modeling of complex stochastic processes
title_fullStr Influence modeling of complex stochastic processes
title_full_unstemmed Influence modeling of complex stochastic processes
title_short Influence modeling of complex stochastic processes
title_sort influence modeling of complex stochastic processes
topic Architecture. Program In Media Arts and Sciences
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/37386
work_keys_str_mv AT dongwen influencemodelingofcomplexstochasticprocesses