Trends and breaks in per-capita carbon dioxide emissions, 1870-2028
We consider per-capita carbon dioxide emission trends in 16 early developed countries over the period 1870-2028. Using a multiple-break time series method we find more evidence for very early downturns in per-capita trends than for late downturns, during the oil price shocks of the 1970s. Only for t...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Working Paper |
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MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research
2009
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/44995 |
| _version_ | 1811091584074121216 |
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| author | Lanne, Markku Liski, Matti |
| author2 | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research. |
| author_facet | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research. Lanne, Markku Liski, Matti |
| author_sort | Lanne, Markku |
| collection | MIT |
| description | We consider per-capita carbon dioxide emission trends in 16 early developed countries over the period 1870-2028. Using a multiple-break time series method we find more evidence for very early downturns in per-capita trends than for late downturns, during the oil price shocks of the 1970s. Only for two countries do downturns in trends imply downward sloping stable trends. We also consider trends in emission composition and find little evidence for in-sample peaks for emissions from liquid and gaseous fuel uses. These results lead us to reject the oil price shocks as events causing permanent breaks in the structure and level of emissions, a conclusion often made in analyses using shorter postwar data. |
| first_indexed | 2024-09-23T15:04:24Z |
| format | Working Paper |
| id | mit-1721.1/44995 |
| institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
| last_indexed | 2024-09-23T15:04:24Z |
| publishDate | 2009 |
| publisher | MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | mit-1721.1/449952019-04-10T11:14:33Z Trends and breaks in per-capita carbon dioxide emissions, 1870-2028 Lanne, Markku Liski, Matti Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research. We consider per-capita carbon dioxide emission trends in 16 early developed countries over the period 1870-2028. Using a multiple-break time series method we find more evidence for very early downturns in per-capita trends than for late downturns, during the oil price shocks of the 1970s. Only for two countries do downturns in trends imply downward sloping stable trends. We also consider trends in emission composition and find little evidence for in-sample peaks for emissions from liquid and gaseous fuel uses. These results lead us to reject the oil price shocks as events causing permanent breaks in the structure and level of emissions, a conclusion often made in analyses using shorter postwar data. Supported by the MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research. 2009-04-03T17:05:22Z 2009-04-03T17:05:22Z 2003 Working Paper 2003-002 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/44995 52299452 MIT-CEEPR (Series) ; 03-002WP. 33 p application/pdf MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research |
| spellingShingle | Lanne, Markku Liski, Matti Trends and breaks in per-capita carbon dioxide emissions, 1870-2028 |
| title | Trends and breaks in per-capita carbon dioxide emissions, 1870-2028 |
| title_full | Trends and breaks in per-capita carbon dioxide emissions, 1870-2028 |
| title_fullStr | Trends and breaks in per-capita carbon dioxide emissions, 1870-2028 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Trends and breaks in per-capita carbon dioxide emissions, 1870-2028 |
| title_short | Trends and breaks in per-capita carbon dioxide emissions, 1870-2028 |
| title_sort | trends and breaks in per capita carbon dioxide emissions 1870 2028 |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/44995 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT lannemarkku trendsandbreaksinpercapitacarbondioxideemissions18702028 AT liskimatti trendsandbreaksinpercapitacarbondioxideemissions18702028 |