The macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks : why are the 2000s so different from the 1920s?

We characterize the macroeconomic performance of a set of industrialized economies in the aftermath of the oil price shocks of the 1970s and of the last decade, focusing on the differences across episodes. We examine four different hypotheses for the mild effects on inflation and economic activity o...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Blanchard, Olivier, Galí, Jordi
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research.
Format: Working Paper
Published: MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research 2009
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/45126
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author Blanchard, Olivier
Galí, Jordi
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research.
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research.
Blanchard, Olivier
Galí, Jordi
author_sort Blanchard, Olivier
collection MIT
description We characterize the macroeconomic performance of a set of industrialized economies in the aftermath of the oil price shocks of the 1970s and of the last decade, focusing on the differences across episodes. We examine four different hypotheses for the mild effects on inflation and economic activity of the recent increase in the price of oil: (a) good luck (i.e. lack of concurrent adverse shocks), (b) smaller share of oil in production, (c) more flexible labor markets, and (d) improvements in monetary policy. We conclude that all four have played an important role.
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spelling mit-1721.1/451262019-04-10T14:52:29Z The macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks : why are the 2000s so different from the 1920s? Blanchard, Olivier Galí, Jordi Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research. We characterize the macroeconomic performance of a set of industrialized economies in the aftermath of the oil price shocks of the 1970s and of the last decade, focusing on the differences across episodes. We examine four different hypotheses for the mild effects on inflation and economic activity of the recent increase in the price of oil: (a) good luck (i.e. lack of concurrent adverse shocks), (b) smaller share of oil in production, (c) more flexible labor markets, and (d) improvements in monetary policy. We conclude that all four have played an important role. 2009-04-09T20:05:15Z 2009-04-09T20:05:15Z 2007 Working Paper 2007-011 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/45126 244574931 MIT-CEEPR (Series) ; 07-011WP. 77 p application/pdf MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research
spellingShingle Blanchard, Olivier
Galí, Jordi
The macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks : why are the 2000s so different from the 1920s?
title The macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks : why are the 2000s so different from the 1920s?
title_full The macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks : why are the 2000s so different from the 1920s?
title_fullStr The macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks : why are the 2000s so different from the 1920s?
title_full_unstemmed The macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks : why are the 2000s so different from the 1920s?
title_short The macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks : why are the 2000s so different from the 1920s?
title_sort macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks why are the 2000s so different from the 1920s
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/45126
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