The Global Zonally Integrated Ocean Circulation, 1992–2006: Seasonal and Decadal Variability

The zonally integrated meridional and vertical velocities as well as the enthalpy transports and fluxes in a least squares adjusted general circulation model are used to estimate the top-to-bottom oceanic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) and its variability from 1992 to 2006. A variety of si...

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Main Authors: Heimbach, Patrick, Wunsch, Carl Isaac
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: American Meteorological Society 2010
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/51866
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6808-3664
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3925-6161
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author Heimbach, Patrick
Wunsch, Carl Isaac
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Heimbach, Patrick
Wunsch, Carl Isaac
author_sort Heimbach, Patrick
collection MIT
description The zonally integrated meridional and vertical velocities as well as the enthalpy transports and fluxes in a least squares adjusted general circulation model are used to estimate the top-to-bottom oceanic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) and its variability from 1992 to 2006. A variety of simple theories all produce time scales suggesting that the mid- and high-latitude oceans should respond to atmospheric driving only over several decades. In practice, little change is seen in the MOC and associated heat transport except very close to the sea surface, at depth near the equator, and in parts of the Southern Ocean. Variability in meridional transports in both volume and enthalpy is dominated by the annual cycle and secondarily by the semiannual cycle, particularly in the Southern Ocean. On time scales longer than a year, the solution exhibits small trends with complicated global spatial patterns. Apart from a net uptake of heat from the atmosphere (forced by the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis, which produces net ocean heating), the origins of the meridional transport trends are not distinguishable and are likely a combination of model disequilibrium, shifts in the observing system, other trends (real or artificial) in the meteorological fields, and/or true oceanic secularities. None of the results, however, supports an inference of oceanic circulation shifts taking the system out of the range in which changes are more than small perturbations. That the oceanic observations do not conflict with an apparent excess heat uptake from the atmosphere implies a continued undersampling of the global ocean, even in the upper layers.
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spelling mit-1721.1/518662024-05-15T02:19:46Z The Global Zonally Integrated Ocean Circulation, 1992–2006: Seasonal and Decadal Variability Heimbach, Patrick Wunsch, Carl Isaac Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Wunsch, Carl Wunsch, Carl Heimbach, Patrick The zonally integrated meridional and vertical velocities as well as the enthalpy transports and fluxes in a least squares adjusted general circulation model are used to estimate the top-to-bottom oceanic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) and its variability from 1992 to 2006. A variety of simple theories all produce time scales suggesting that the mid- and high-latitude oceans should respond to atmospheric driving only over several decades. In practice, little change is seen in the MOC and associated heat transport except very close to the sea surface, at depth near the equator, and in parts of the Southern Ocean. Variability in meridional transports in both volume and enthalpy is dominated by the annual cycle and secondarily by the semiannual cycle, particularly in the Southern Ocean. On time scales longer than a year, the solution exhibits small trends with complicated global spatial patterns. Apart from a net uptake of heat from the atmosphere (forced by the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis, which produces net ocean heating), the origins of the meridional transport trends are not distinguishable and are likely a combination of model disequilibrium, shifts in the observing system, other trends (real or artificial) in the meteorological fields, and/or true oceanic secularities. None of the results, however, supports an inference of oceanic circulation shifts taking the system out of the range in which changes are more than small perturbations. That the oceanic observations do not conflict with an apparent excess heat uptake from the atmosphere implies a continued undersampling of the global ocean, even in the upper layers. 2010-03-01T20:30:50Z 2010-03-01T20:30:50Z 2009-08 2008-03 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0022-3670 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/51866 Wunsch, Carl, and Patrick Heimbach. “The Global Zonally Integrated Ocean Circulation, 1992–2006: Seasonal and Decadal Variability.” Journal of Physical Oceanography (2009): 351-368. ©2009 American Meteorological Society https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6808-3664 https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3925-6161 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008JPO4012.1 Journal of Physical Oceanography Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society
spellingShingle Heimbach, Patrick
Wunsch, Carl Isaac
The Global Zonally Integrated Ocean Circulation, 1992–2006: Seasonal and Decadal Variability
title The Global Zonally Integrated Ocean Circulation, 1992–2006: Seasonal and Decadal Variability
title_full The Global Zonally Integrated Ocean Circulation, 1992–2006: Seasonal and Decadal Variability
title_fullStr The Global Zonally Integrated Ocean Circulation, 1992–2006: Seasonal and Decadal Variability
title_full_unstemmed The Global Zonally Integrated Ocean Circulation, 1992–2006: Seasonal and Decadal Variability
title_short The Global Zonally Integrated Ocean Circulation, 1992–2006: Seasonal and Decadal Variability
title_sort global zonally integrated ocean circulation 1992 2006 seasonal and decadal variability
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/51866
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6808-3664
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3925-6161
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