The use of a distributed hydrologic model to predict dynamic landslide susceptibility for a humid basin in Puerto Rico

Thesis (Env. E.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 2009.

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Kamal, Sameer A. (Sameer Ahmed)
Other Authors: Rafael L. Bras.
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2010
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/55154
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author Kamal, Sameer A. (Sameer Ahmed)
author2 Rafael L. Bras.
author_facet Rafael L. Bras.
Kamal, Sameer A. (Sameer Ahmed)
author_sort Kamal, Sameer A. (Sameer Ahmed)
collection MIT
description Thesis (Env. E.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 2009.
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spelling mit-1721.1/551542019-04-12T23:38:51Z The use of a distributed hydrologic model to predict dynamic landslide susceptibility for a humid basin in Puerto Rico Kamal, Sameer A. (Sameer Ahmed) Rafael L. Bras. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering. Civil and Environmental Engineering. Thesis (Env. E.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 2009. "September 2009." Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. Includes bibliographical references (p. 86-91). This thesis describes the use of a distributed hydrology model in conjunction with a Factor of Safety (FS) algorithm to predict dynamic landslide susceptibility for a humid basin in Puerto Rico. The Mameyes basin, located in the Luquillo Experimental Forest in Puerto Rico, was selected for modeling based on the rich ensemble of soil, vegetation, topographical, meteorological and historic landslide data available. The basin was parameterized into the TIN-based Real-time Integrated Basin Simulator (tRIBS) with particular emphasis on vegetation parameters for broadleaf evergreen trees in tropical climates. The basin was forced with precipitation data that included a synthesized rainfall event likely to result in a landslide based on rainfall intensity-duration thresholds. The basin's response was assessed mainly in terms of soil moisture and values of selected vegetation parameters, which served as the dynamic inputs into the FS algorithm. (cont.) An off-line FS algorithm was developed and tested using typical values for parameters encountered in the Mameyes basin. Sensitivity analyses indicated that slope angle, soil cohesion and soil moisture were the most sensitive parameters in this FS algorithm. When the tRIBS / FS Algorithm combination was employed over the entire basin, landslides were indicated in 48 out of 13,169 modeled locations. The spatial distribution of landslides compared favorably to a static landslide susceptibility map developed in previous work by Lepore et al. (2008b) while the temporal distribution of landslides was correlated with rainfall events. Landslides were predicted over a range of slope angle values, including on relatively gentle slopes where the modeled soil moisture drove the instability. The results demonstrate that the tRIBS/FS algorithm combination developed in this work is able to capture the key dynamics associated with slope stability, specifically the interactions between the slope angle and the soil moisture state. by Sameer A. Kamal. Env.E. 2010-05-25T20:54:50Z 2010-05-25T20:54:50Z 2009 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/55154 607534867 eng M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 100 p. application/pdf nwpr--- Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Civil and Environmental Engineering.
Kamal, Sameer A. (Sameer Ahmed)
The use of a distributed hydrologic model to predict dynamic landslide susceptibility for a humid basin in Puerto Rico
title The use of a distributed hydrologic model to predict dynamic landslide susceptibility for a humid basin in Puerto Rico
title_full The use of a distributed hydrologic model to predict dynamic landslide susceptibility for a humid basin in Puerto Rico
title_fullStr The use of a distributed hydrologic model to predict dynamic landslide susceptibility for a humid basin in Puerto Rico
title_full_unstemmed The use of a distributed hydrologic model to predict dynamic landslide susceptibility for a humid basin in Puerto Rico
title_short The use of a distributed hydrologic model to predict dynamic landslide susceptibility for a humid basin in Puerto Rico
title_sort use of a distributed hydrologic model to predict dynamic landslide susceptibility for a humid basin in puerto rico
topic Civil and Environmental Engineering.
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/55154
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