Conditioning Stochastic Rainfall Replicates on Remote Sensing Data

Temporally and spatially variable rainfall replicates are frequently required in hydrologic applications of ensemble forecasting and data assimilation. Ensemble methods can be expected to work better when the rainfall replicates more closely resemble observed storms. In particular, the replicates sh...

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Main Authors: Entekhabi, Dara, Wojcik, Rafal, McLaughlin, Dennis, Konings, Alexandra G.
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Society 2010
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/60256
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2810-1722
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8362-4761
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author Entekhabi, Dara
Wojcik, Rafal
McLaughlin, Dennis
Konings, Alexandra G.
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Entekhabi, Dara
Wojcik, Rafal
McLaughlin, Dennis
Konings, Alexandra G.
author_sort Entekhabi, Dara
collection MIT
description Temporally and spatially variable rainfall replicates are frequently required in hydrologic applications of ensemble forecasting and data assimilation. Ensemble methods can be expected to work better when the rainfall replicates more closely resemble observed storms. In particular, the replicates should capture the intermittency and variability that are dominant features of rainfall events. In this paper, we present a new probabilistic procedure for generating realistic rainfall replicates that are constrained by (or conditioned on) remote sensing measurements. The procedure uses remotely sensed cloud top temperatures to identify potentially rainy regions. The cloud top temperatures are obtained from visible/infrared instruments in geostationary orbit. A multipoint geostatistical algorithm generates areas of nonzero rain (rain clusters) within each cloudy region. This algorithm relies on statistics derived from ground-based weather radar [National Operational Weather Radar (NOWRAD)] data. A truncated multiplicative cascade generates rain rates within each rain cluster. A computational experiment based on summer 2004 data from the Central U.S. indicates that the rainfall replicates simulated by the procedure are visually and statistically similar to individual NOWRAD images and to a large ensemble of NOWRAD images collected throughout the summer simulation period.
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spelling mit-1721.1/602562022-09-26T17:18:04Z Conditioning Stochastic Rainfall Replicates on Remote Sensing Data Entekhabi, Dara Wojcik, Rafal McLaughlin, Dennis Konings, Alexandra G. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Entekhabi, Dara Entekhabi, Dara Wojcik, Rafal McLaughlin, Dennis Konings, Alexandra G. Temporally and spatially variable rainfall replicates are frequently required in hydrologic applications of ensemble forecasting and data assimilation. Ensemble methods can be expected to work better when the rainfall replicates more closely resemble observed storms. In particular, the replicates should capture the intermittency and variability that are dominant features of rainfall events. In this paper, we present a new probabilistic procedure for generating realistic rainfall replicates that are constrained by (or conditioned on) remote sensing measurements. The procedure uses remotely sensed cloud top temperatures to identify potentially rainy regions. The cloud top temperatures are obtained from visible/infrared instruments in geostationary orbit. A multipoint geostatistical algorithm generates areas of nonzero rain (rain clusters) within each cloudy region. This algorithm relies on statistics derived from ground-based weather radar [National Operational Weather Radar (NOWRAD)] data. A truncated multiplicative cascade generates rain rates within each rain cluster. A computational experiment based on summer 2004 data from the Central U.S. indicates that the rainfall replicates simulated by the procedure are visually and statistically similar to individual NOWRAD images and to a large ensemble of NOWRAD images collected throughout the summer simulation period. 2010-12-09T17:22:35Z 2010-12-09T17:22:35Z 2009-05 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0196-2892 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/60256 Wojcik, R. et al. “Conditioning Stochastic Rainfall Replicates on Remote Sensing Data.” Geoscience and Remote Sensing, IEEE Transactions on 47.8 (2009): 2436-2449. © 2009, IEEE https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2810-1722 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8362-4761 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/tgrs.2009.2016413 IEEE transactions on geoscience and remote sensing Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Society IEEE
spellingShingle Entekhabi, Dara
Wojcik, Rafal
McLaughlin, Dennis
Konings, Alexandra G.
Conditioning Stochastic Rainfall Replicates on Remote Sensing Data
title Conditioning Stochastic Rainfall Replicates on Remote Sensing Data
title_full Conditioning Stochastic Rainfall Replicates on Remote Sensing Data
title_fullStr Conditioning Stochastic Rainfall Replicates on Remote Sensing Data
title_full_unstemmed Conditioning Stochastic Rainfall Replicates on Remote Sensing Data
title_short Conditioning Stochastic Rainfall Replicates on Remote Sensing Data
title_sort conditioning stochastic rainfall replicates on remote sensing data
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/60256
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2810-1722
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8362-4761
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