Temperature and Income: Reconciling New Cross-Sectional and Panel Estimates

It has long been observed that hot countries tend to be poor. A correlation between heat and poverty was noted as early as Charles de Montesquieu (1750) and Ellsworth Huntington (1915), and it has been repeatedly demonstrated in contemporary data (e.g., William D. Nordhaus 2006). Looking at a...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Dell, Melissa Lynne, Jones, Benjamin F., Olken, Benjamin A.
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: American Economic Association 2011
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/61740
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1918-4631
Description
Summary:It has long been observed that hot countries tend to be poor. A correlation between heat and poverty was noted as early as Charles de Montesquieu (1750) and Ellsworth Huntington (1915), and it has been repeatedly demonstrated in contemporary data (e.g., William D. Nordhaus 2006). Looking at a cross section of the world in the year 2000, national income per capita falls 8.5 percent per degree Celsius rise in temperature (see Table 2 below). In fact, temperature alone can explain 23 percent of the variation in cross-country income today.