Wealth accumulation and factors accounting for success

We use detailed income, balance sheet, and cash flow statements constructed for households in a long monthly panel in an emerging market economy, and some recent contributions in economic theory, to document and better understand the factors underlying success in achieving upward mobility in the dis...

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Main Authors: Pawasutipaisit, Anan, Townsend, Robert
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: Elsevier B.V. 2011
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/61957
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1528-8102
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author Pawasutipaisit, Anan
Townsend, Robert
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
Pawasutipaisit, Anan
Townsend, Robert
author_sort Pawasutipaisit, Anan
collection MIT
description We use detailed income, balance sheet, and cash flow statements constructed for households in a long monthly panel in an emerging market economy, and some recent contributions in economic theory, to document and better understand the factors underlying success in achieving upward mobility in the distribution of net worth. Wealth inequality is decreasing over time, and many households work their way out of poverty and lower wealth over the seven year period. The accounts establish that, mechanically, this is largely due to savings rather than incoming gifts and remittances. In turn, the growth of net worth can be decomposed household by household into the savings rate and how productively that savings is used, the return on assets (ROA). The latter plays the larger role. ROA is, in turn, positively correlated with higher education of household members, younger age of the head, and with a higher debt/asset ratio and lower initial wealth, so it seems from cross-sections that the financial system is imperfectly channeling resources to productive and poor households. Household fixed effects account for the larger part of ROA, and this success is largely persistent, undercutting the story that successful entrepreneurs are those that simply get lucky. Persistence does vary across households, and in at least one province with much change and increasing opportunities, ROA changes as households move over time to higher-return occupations. But for those households with high and persistent ROA, the savings rate is higher, consistent with some micro founded macro models with imperfect credit markets. Indeed, high ROA households save by investing in their own enterprises and adopt consistent financial strategies for smoothing fluctuations. More generally growth of wealth, savings levels and/or rates are correlated with TFP and the household fixed effects that are the larger part of ROA.
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spelling mit-1721.1/619572022-09-27T19:58:07Z Wealth accumulation and factors accounting for success Pawasutipaisit, Anan Townsend, Robert Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics Townsend, Townsend Townsend, Robert We use detailed income, balance sheet, and cash flow statements constructed for households in a long monthly panel in an emerging market economy, and some recent contributions in economic theory, to document and better understand the factors underlying success in achieving upward mobility in the distribution of net worth. Wealth inequality is decreasing over time, and many households work their way out of poverty and lower wealth over the seven year period. The accounts establish that, mechanically, this is largely due to savings rather than incoming gifts and remittances. In turn, the growth of net worth can be decomposed household by household into the savings rate and how productively that savings is used, the return on assets (ROA). The latter plays the larger role. ROA is, in turn, positively correlated with higher education of household members, younger age of the head, and with a higher debt/asset ratio and lower initial wealth, so it seems from cross-sections that the financial system is imperfectly channeling resources to productive and poor households. Household fixed effects account for the larger part of ROA, and this success is largely persistent, undercutting the story that successful entrepreneurs are those that simply get lucky. Persistence does vary across households, and in at least one province with much change and increasing opportunities, ROA changes as households move over time to higher-return occupations. But for those households with high and persistent ROA, the savings rate is higher, consistent with some micro founded macro models with imperfect credit markets. Indeed, high ROA households save by investing in their own enterprises and adopt consistent financial strategies for smoothing fluctuations. More generally growth of wealth, savings levels and/or rates are correlated with TFP and the household fixed effects that are the larger part of ROA. National Science Foundation (U.S.) Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (U.S.) Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Templeton Foundation University of Chicago. Consortium on Financial Systems and Poverty 2011-03-25T14:06:47Z 2011-03-25T14:06:47Z 2011-03 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0304-4076 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/61957 Pawasutipaisit, Anan, and Robert M. Townsend. “Wealth accumulation and Factors accounting For Success.” Journal Of Econometrics 161.1 (2011) : 56-81. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1528-8102 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2010.09.007 Journal of Econometrics Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/ application/pdf Elsevier B.V. MIT web domain
spellingShingle Pawasutipaisit, Anan
Townsend, Robert
Wealth accumulation and factors accounting for success
title Wealth accumulation and factors accounting for success
title_full Wealth accumulation and factors accounting for success
title_fullStr Wealth accumulation and factors accounting for success
title_full_unstemmed Wealth accumulation and factors accounting for success
title_short Wealth accumulation and factors accounting for success
title_sort wealth accumulation and factors accounting for success
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/61957
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1528-8102
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