Characterizing Markets for Biopharmaceutical Innovations: Do Biologics Differ from Small Molecules?

While much has been written about the distinctions between biologics and small molecules in terms of their scientific, manufacturing and regulatory experiences, relatively little has been published comparing their clinical and commercial experiences. Employing a data base encompassing all 96 biol...

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Main Authors: Trusheim, Mark, Aitken, Murray L., Berndt, Ernst R.
Other Authors: Sloan School of Management
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: National Bureau of Economic Research 2011
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/62181
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6388-0768
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author Trusheim, Mark
Aitken, Murray L.
Berndt, Ernst R.
author2 Sloan School of Management
author_facet Sloan School of Management
Trusheim, Mark
Aitken, Murray L.
Berndt, Ernst R.
author_sort Trusheim, Mark
collection MIT
description While much has been written about the distinctions between biologics and small molecules in terms of their scientific, manufacturing and regulatory experiences, relatively little has been published comparing their clinical and commercial experiences. Employing a data base encompassing all 96 biologics and 212 small molecules newly launched in the U.S. between 1998Q1 and 2008Q4, we compare their downstream clinical and commercial characteristics. Substantial heterogeneity occurs across therapeutic classes. Biologics are more concentrated than small molecules in their therapeutic class composition, but have obtained FDA indication approvals in 13 of 15 classes. While average delays between FDA approval and first observed sales revenues are similar, biologics are twice as likely as small molecules to be Orphan Drugs, are slightly more likely to be designated FDA priority rather than standard review status, and gain slightly more supplemental indication approvals. Although 9.4% of new small molecules permanently exited the market for a variety of reasons, 7.3% of new biologics exited, but 26% of biologics had black box warnings compared to 20% of small molecules. Both biologics and small molecules take 21-22 quarters from launch to reach $100 million in real revenues. Small molecules have an initially more rapid uptake, but thereafter biologics’ mean revenues tend to be slightly greater than for small molecules. While launch prices for biologics are commonly perceived as being greater than for small molecules, price growth per standard unit is generally greater for small molecules than biologics, with rates of price growth increasing for small molecules in the first five years since launch, and decreasing thereafter. We conclude that the market dynamics of biologics differ substantially from those of small molecules, although therapeutic class composition plays a major role.
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spelling mit-1721.1/621812022-09-29T22:16:52Z Characterizing Markets for Biopharmaceutical Innovations: Do Biologics Differ from Small Molecules? Trusheim, Mark Aitken, Murray L. Berndt, Ernst R. Sloan School of Management Berndt, Ernst R. Berndt, Ernst R. Trusheim, Mark While much has been written about the distinctions between biologics and small molecules in terms of their scientific, manufacturing and regulatory experiences, relatively little has been published comparing their clinical and commercial experiences. Employing a data base encompassing all 96 biologics and 212 small molecules newly launched in the U.S. between 1998Q1 and 2008Q4, we compare their downstream clinical and commercial characteristics. Substantial heterogeneity occurs across therapeutic classes. Biologics are more concentrated than small molecules in their therapeutic class composition, but have obtained FDA indication approvals in 13 of 15 classes. While average delays between FDA approval and first observed sales revenues are similar, biologics are twice as likely as small molecules to be Orphan Drugs, are slightly more likely to be designated FDA priority rather than standard review status, and gain slightly more supplemental indication approvals. Although 9.4% of new small molecules permanently exited the market for a variety of reasons, 7.3% of new biologics exited, but 26% of biologics had black box warnings compared to 20% of small molecules. Both biologics and small molecules take 21-22 quarters from launch to reach $100 million in real revenues. Small molecules have an initially more rapid uptake, but thereafter biologics’ mean revenues tend to be slightly greater than for small molecules. While launch prices for biologics are commonly perceived as being greater than for small molecules, price growth per standard unit is generally greater for small molecules than biologics, with rates of price growth increasing for small molecules in the first five years since launch, and decreasing thereafter. We conclude that the market dynamics of biologics differ substantially from those of small molecules, although therapeutic class composition plays a major role. Pfizer Inc. 2011-04-08T20:14:32Z 2011-04-08T20:14:32Z 2010-01 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 1096-231X 1558-9544 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/62181 Trusheim, Mark R., Murray L. Aitken and Ernst R. Berndt. "Characterizing Markets for Biopharmaceutical Innovations: Do Biologics Differ from Molecules?." Forum for Health Economics & Policy (Frontiers in Health Policy Research) (2010) 13.1 p. 1-45 ©2010 The Berkeley Electronic Press. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6388-0768 en_US Frontiers in Health Policy Research Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf National Bureau of Economic Research BEPress
spellingShingle Trusheim, Mark
Aitken, Murray L.
Berndt, Ernst R.
Characterizing Markets for Biopharmaceutical Innovations: Do Biologics Differ from Small Molecules?
title Characterizing Markets for Biopharmaceutical Innovations: Do Biologics Differ from Small Molecules?
title_full Characterizing Markets for Biopharmaceutical Innovations: Do Biologics Differ from Small Molecules?
title_fullStr Characterizing Markets for Biopharmaceutical Innovations: Do Biologics Differ from Small Molecules?
title_full_unstemmed Characterizing Markets for Biopharmaceutical Innovations: Do Biologics Differ from Small Molecules?
title_short Characterizing Markets for Biopharmaceutical Innovations: Do Biologics Differ from Small Molecules?
title_sort characterizing markets for biopharmaceutical innovations do biologics differ from small molecules
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/62181
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6388-0768
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