Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM
Extremes of precipitation are examined in a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized aquaplanet GCM. The high percentiles of daily precipitation increase as the climate warms. Their fractional rate of increase with global-mean surface temperature is generally similar to or greater than tha...
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American Meteorological Society
2011
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/63914 https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1748-0816 |
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author | Schneider, Tapio O'Gorman, Paul |
author2 | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences |
author_facet | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Schneider, Tapio O'Gorman, Paul |
author_sort | Schneider, Tapio |
collection | MIT |
description | Extremes of precipitation are examined in a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized aquaplanet GCM. The high percentiles of daily precipitation increase as the climate warms. Their fractional rate of increase with global-mean surface temperature is generally similar to or greater than that of mean precipitation, but it is less than that of atmospheric (column) water vapor content. A simple scaling is introduced for precipitation extremes that accounts for their behavior by including the effects of changes in the moist-adiabatic lapse rate, the circulation strength, and the temperature when the extreme events occur. The effects of changes in the moist-adiabatic lapse rate and circulation strength on precipitation extremes are important globally, whereas the difference in the mean temperature and the temperature at which precipitation extremes occur is important only at middle to high latitudes. |
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format | Article |
id | mit-1721.1/63914 |
institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
language | en_US |
last_indexed | 2024-09-23T11:44:31Z |
publishDate | 2011 |
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spelling | mit-1721.1/639142024-05-15T08:44:03Z Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM Schneider, Tapio O'Gorman, Paul Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences O'Gorman, Paul Ambrose O'Gorman, Paul Ambrose Extremes of precipitation are examined in a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized aquaplanet GCM. The high percentiles of daily precipitation increase as the climate warms. Their fractional rate of increase with global-mean surface temperature is generally similar to or greater than that of mean precipitation, but it is less than that of atmospheric (column) water vapor content. A simple scaling is introduced for precipitation extremes that accounts for their behavior by including the effects of changes in the moist-adiabatic lapse rate, the circulation strength, and the temperature when the extreme events occur. The effects of changes in the moist-adiabatic lapse rate and circulation strength on precipitation extremes are important globally, whereas the difference in the mean temperature and the temperature at which precipitation extremes occur is important only at middle to high latitudes. National Science Foundation (U.S.) (GrantATM-0450059) David & Lucile Packard Foundation 2011-06-09T20:55:03Z 2011-06-09T20:55:03Z 2009-11 2009-04 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0894-8755 1520-0442 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/63914 O’Gorman, Paul A., and Tapio Schneider. “Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM.” J. Climate 22.21 (2011) : 5676-5685.© 2011 American Meteorological Society. https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1748-0816 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2009jcli2701.1 Journal of Climate Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society |
spellingShingle | Schneider, Tapio O'Gorman, Paul Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM |
title | Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM |
title_full | Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM |
title_fullStr | Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM |
title_full_unstemmed | Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM |
title_short | Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM |
title_sort | scaling of precipitation extremes over a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized gcm |
url | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/63914 https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1748-0816 |
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