Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM

Extremes of precipitation are examined in a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized aquaplanet GCM. The high percentiles of daily precipitation increase as the climate warms. Their fractional rate of increase with global-mean surface temperature is generally similar to or greater than tha...

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Main Authors: Schneider, Tapio, O'Gorman, Paul
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: American Meteorological Society 2011
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/63914
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1748-0816
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author Schneider, Tapio
O'Gorman, Paul
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Schneider, Tapio
O'Gorman, Paul
author_sort Schneider, Tapio
collection MIT
description Extremes of precipitation are examined in a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized aquaplanet GCM. The high percentiles of daily precipitation increase as the climate warms. Their fractional rate of increase with global-mean surface temperature is generally similar to or greater than that of mean precipitation, but it is less than that of atmospheric (column) water vapor content. A simple scaling is introduced for precipitation extremes that accounts for their behavior by including the effects of changes in the moist-adiabatic lapse rate, the circulation strength, and the temperature when the extreme events occur. The effects of changes in the moist-adiabatic lapse rate and circulation strength on precipitation extremes are important globally, whereas the difference in the mean temperature and the temperature at which precipitation extremes occur is important only at middle to high latitudes.
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spelling mit-1721.1/639142024-05-15T08:44:03Z Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM Schneider, Tapio O'Gorman, Paul Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences O'Gorman, Paul Ambrose O'Gorman, Paul Ambrose Extremes of precipitation are examined in a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized aquaplanet GCM. The high percentiles of daily precipitation increase as the climate warms. Their fractional rate of increase with global-mean surface temperature is generally similar to or greater than that of mean precipitation, but it is less than that of atmospheric (column) water vapor content. A simple scaling is introduced for precipitation extremes that accounts for their behavior by including the effects of changes in the moist-adiabatic lapse rate, the circulation strength, and the temperature when the extreme events occur. The effects of changes in the moist-adiabatic lapse rate and circulation strength on precipitation extremes are important globally, whereas the difference in the mean temperature and the temperature at which precipitation extremes occur is important only at middle to high latitudes. National Science Foundation (U.S.) (GrantATM-0450059) David & Lucile Packard Foundation 2011-06-09T20:55:03Z 2011-06-09T20:55:03Z 2009-11 2009-04 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0894-8755 1520-0442 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/63914 O’Gorman, Paul A., and Tapio Schneider. “Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM.” J. Climate 22.21 (2011) : 5676-5685.© 2011 American Meteorological Society. https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1748-0816 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2009jcli2701.1 Journal of Climate Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society
spellingShingle Schneider, Tapio
O'Gorman, Paul
Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM
title Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM
title_full Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM
title_fullStr Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM
title_full_unstemmed Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM
title_short Scaling of Precipitation Extremes over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated with an Idealized GCM
title_sort scaling of precipitation extremes over a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized gcm
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/63914
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1748-0816
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