A Political Theory of Populism

When voters fear that politicians may have a right-wing bias or that they may be influenced or corrupted by the rich elite, signals of true left-wing conviction are valuable. As a consequence, even a moderate politician seeking reelection chooses ‘populist’ policies--i.e., policies to the left of th...

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Main Authors: Acemoglu, Daron, Egorov, Georgy, Sonin, Konstantin
Format: Working Paper
Language:en_US
Published: Cambridge, MA: Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2011
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/65159
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author Acemoglu, Daron
Egorov, Georgy
Sonin, Konstantin
author_facet Acemoglu, Daron
Egorov, Georgy
Sonin, Konstantin
author_sort Acemoglu, Daron
collection MIT
description When voters fear that politicians may have a right-wing bias or that they may be influenced or corrupted by the rich elite, signals of true left-wing conviction are valuable. As a consequence, even a moderate politician seeking reelection chooses ‘populist’ policies--i.e., policies to the left of the median voter--as a way of signaling that he is not from the right. Truly right-wing politicians respond by choosing more moderate, or even left-of-center policies. This populist bias of policy is greater when the value of remaining in office is higher for the politician; when there is greater polarization between the policy preferences of the median voter and right-wing politicians; when politicians are indeed more likely to have a hidden right-wing agenda; when there is an intermediate amount of noise in the information that voters receive; when politicians are more forward-looking; and when there is greater uncertainty about the type of the incumbent. We show that similar results apply when some politicians can be corrupted or influenced through other non-electoral means by the rich elite. We also show that ‘soft term limits’ may exacerbate, rather than reduce, the populist bias of policies.
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spelling mit-1721.1/651592019-04-11T09:14:50Z A Political Theory of Populism Acemoglu, Daron Egorov, Georgy Sonin, Konstantin Political economy Inequality Populism Voting Signaling When voters fear that politicians may have a right-wing bias or that they may be influenced or corrupted by the rich elite, signals of true left-wing conviction are valuable. As a consequence, even a moderate politician seeking reelection chooses ‘populist’ policies--i.e., policies to the left of the median voter--as a way of signaling that he is not from the right. Truly right-wing politicians respond by choosing more moderate, or even left-of-center policies. This populist bias of policy is greater when the value of remaining in office is higher for the politician; when there is greater polarization between the policy preferences of the median voter and right-wing politicians; when politicians are indeed more likely to have a hidden right-wing agenda; when there is an intermediate amount of noise in the information that voters receive; when politicians are more forward-looking; and when there is greater uncertainty about the type of the incumbent. We show that similar results apply when some politicians can be corrupted or influenced through other non-electoral means by the rich elite. We also show that ‘soft term limits’ may exacerbate, rather than reduce, the populist bias of policies. 2011-08-15T22:30:16Z 2011-08-15T22:30:16Z 2011-08-03 Working Paper http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/65159 en_US Working paper (Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Economics);11-21 An error occurred on the license name. An error occurred getting the license - uri. application/pdf Cambridge, MA: Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Political economy
Inequality
Populism
Voting
Signaling
Acemoglu, Daron
Egorov, Georgy
Sonin, Konstantin
A Political Theory of Populism
title A Political Theory of Populism
title_full A Political Theory of Populism
title_fullStr A Political Theory of Populism
title_full_unstemmed A Political Theory of Populism
title_short A Political Theory of Populism
title_sort political theory of populism
topic Political economy
Inequality
Populism
Voting
Signaling
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/65159
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