A Radial Basis Function Approach to Financial Time Series Analysis

Nonlinear multivariate statistical techniques on fast computers offer the potential to capture more of the dynamics of the high dimensional, noisy systems underlying financial markets than traditional models, while making fewer restrictive assumptions. This thesis presents a collection of prac...

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主要作者: Hutchinson, James M.
語言:en_US
出版: 2004
主題:
在線閱讀:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/6783
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author Hutchinson, James M.
author_facet Hutchinson, James M.
author_sort Hutchinson, James M.
collection MIT
description Nonlinear multivariate statistical techniques on fast computers offer the potential to capture more of the dynamics of the high dimensional, noisy systems underlying financial markets than traditional models, while making fewer restrictive assumptions. This thesis presents a collection of practical techniques to address important estimation and confidence issues for Radial Basis Function networks arising from such a data driven approach, including efficient methods for parameter estimation and pruning, a pointwise prediction error estimator, and a methodology for controlling the "data mining'' problem. Novel applications in the finance area are described, including customized, adaptive option pricing and stock price prediction.
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spelling mit-1721.1/67832019-04-09T17:50:30Z A Radial Basis Function Approach to Financial Time Series Analysis Hutchinson, James M. radial basis functions option pricing parametersestimation time series prediction confidence stock market Nonlinear multivariate statistical techniques on fast computers offer the potential to capture more of the dynamics of the high dimensional, noisy systems underlying financial markets than traditional models, while making fewer restrictive assumptions. This thesis presents a collection of practical techniques to address important estimation and confidence issues for Radial Basis Function networks arising from such a data driven approach, including efficient methods for parameter estimation and pruning, a pointwise prediction error estimator, and a methodology for controlling the "data mining'' problem. Novel applications in the finance area are described, including customized, adaptive option pricing and stock price prediction. 2004-10-20T14:45:36Z 2004-10-20T14:45:36Z 1993-12-01 AITR-1457 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/6783 en_US AITR-1457 160 p. 681549 bytes 2849290 bytes application/octet-stream application/pdf application/octet-stream application/pdf
spellingShingle radial basis functions
option pricing
parametersestimation
time series prediction
confidence
stock market
Hutchinson, James M.
A Radial Basis Function Approach to Financial Time Series Analysis
title A Radial Basis Function Approach to Financial Time Series Analysis
title_full A Radial Basis Function Approach to Financial Time Series Analysis
title_fullStr A Radial Basis Function Approach to Financial Time Series Analysis
title_full_unstemmed A Radial Basis Function Approach to Financial Time Series Analysis
title_short A Radial Basis Function Approach to Financial Time Series Analysis
title_sort radial basis function approach to financial time series analysis
topic radial basis functions
option pricing
parametersestimation
time series prediction
confidence
stock market
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/6783
work_keys_str_mv AT hutchinsonjamesm aradialbasisfunctionapproachtofinancialtimeseriesanalysis
AT hutchinsonjamesm radialbasisfunctionapproachtofinancialtimeseriesanalysis