Tracing the Woes: An Empirical Analysis of the Airline Industry

The US airline industry went through tremendous turmoil in the early 2000s, with four major bankruptcies, two major mergers, and various changes in network structure. This paper presents a structural model of the industry, and estimates the impact of demand and supply changes on profitability. Compa...

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Main Authors: Barwick, Panle Jia, Berry, Steven
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: American Economic Association 2012
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/70929
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author Barwick, Panle Jia
Berry, Steven
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
Barwick, Panle Jia
Berry, Steven
author_sort Barwick, Panle Jia
collection MIT
description The US airline industry went through tremendous turmoil in the early 2000s, with four major bankruptcies, two major mergers, and various changes in network structure. This paper presents a structural model of the industry, and estimates the impact of demand and supply changes on profitability. Compared with 1999, we find that, in 2006, air-travel demand was 8 percent more price sensitive, passengers displayed a stronger preference for nonstop flights, and changes in marginal cost significantly favored nonstop flights. Together with the expansion of low-cost carriers, they explain more than 80 percent of legacy carriers' variable profit reduction. (JEL L13, L25, L93)
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spelling mit-1721.1/709292022-09-28T15:21:20Z Tracing the Woes: An Empirical Analysis of the Airline Industry Barwick, Panle Jia Berry, Steven Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics Barwick, Panle Jia Barwick, Panle Jia The US airline industry went through tremendous turmoil in the early 2000s, with four major bankruptcies, two major mergers, and various changes in network structure. This paper presents a structural model of the industry, and estimates the impact of demand and supply changes on profitability. Compared with 1999, we find that, in 2006, air-travel demand was 8 percent more price sensitive, passengers displayed a stronger preference for nonstop flights, and changes in marginal cost significantly favored nonstop flights. Together with the expansion of low-cost carriers, they explain more than 80 percent of legacy carriers' variable profit reduction. (JEL L13, L25, L93) 2012-05-24T18:17:21Z 2012-05-24T18:17:21Z 2010-08 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 1945-7685 1945-7685 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/70929 Berry, Steven, and Panle Jia. “Tracing the Woes: An Empirical Analysis of the Airline Industry.” American Economic Journal: Microeconomics 2.3 (2010): 1–43. Web. 24 May 2012. © 2010 American Economic Association en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/mic.2.3.1 American Economic Journal: Microeconomics Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf American Economic Association MIT web domain
spellingShingle Barwick, Panle Jia
Berry, Steven
Tracing the Woes: An Empirical Analysis of the Airline Industry
title Tracing the Woes: An Empirical Analysis of the Airline Industry
title_full Tracing the Woes: An Empirical Analysis of the Airline Industry
title_fullStr Tracing the Woes: An Empirical Analysis of the Airline Industry
title_full_unstemmed Tracing the Woes: An Empirical Analysis of the Airline Industry
title_short Tracing the Woes: An Empirical Analysis of the Airline Industry
title_sort tracing the woes an empirical analysis of the airline industry
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/70929
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