Global health and economic impacts of future ozone pollution
We assess the human health and economic impacts of projected 2000–2050 changes in ozone pollution using the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis - Health Effects (EPPA-HE) model, in combination with results from the GEOS-Chem global tropospheric chemistry model of climate and chemistry ef...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | en_US |
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Institute of Physics Publishing
2012
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/72178 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4579-4815 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5595-0968 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5925-3801 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6396-5622 https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3287-0732 |
| _version_ | 1811093815260348416 |
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| author | Wu, S. Nam, Kyung-min Paltsev, Sergey Webster, Mort David Selin, Noelle E Reilly, John M Prinn, Ronald G |
| author2 | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Urban Studies and Planning |
| author_facet | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Urban Studies and Planning Wu, S. Nam, Kyung-min Paltsev, Sergey Webster, Mort David Selin, Noelle E Reilly, John M Prinn, Ronald G |
| author_sort | Wu, S. |
| collection | MIT |
| description | We assess the human health and economic impacts of projected 2000–2050 changes in ozone
pollution using the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis - Health Effects (EPPA-HE)
model, in combination with results from the GEOS-Chem global tropospheric chemistry model
of climate and chemistry effects of projected future emissions. We use EPPA-HE to assess the
human health damages (including mortality and morbidity) caused by ozone pollution, and
quantify their economic impacts in sixteen world regions. We compare the costs of ozone
pollution under scenarios with 2000 and 2050 ozone precursor and greenhouse gas emissions
(using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions
Scenarios (SRES) A1B scenario). We estimate that health costs due to global ozone pollution
above pre-industrial levels by 2050 will be $580 billion (year 2000$) and that mortalities from
acute exposure will exceed 2 million. We find that previous methodologies underestimate costs
of air pollution by more than a third because they do not take into account the long-term,
compounding effects of health costs. The economic effects of emissions changes far exceed the
influence of climate alone. |
| first_indexed | 2024-09-23T15:51:08Z |
| format | Article |
| id | mit-1721.1/72178 |
| institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
| language | en_US |
| last_indexed | 2024-09-23T15:51:08Z |
| publishDate | 2012 |
| publisher | Institute of Physics Publishing |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | mit-1721.1/721782024-03-23T02:15:22Z Global health and economic impacts of future ozone pollution Wu, S. Nam, Kyung-min Paltsev, Sergey Webster, Mort David Selin, Noelle E Reilly, John M Prinn, Ronald G Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Urban Studies and Planning Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division MIT Energy Initiative Selin, Noelle Eckley Selin, Noelle Eckley Nam, Kyung-min Paltsev, Sergey Reilly, J. M. Prinn, Ronald G. Webster, Mort David We assess the human health and economic impacts of projected 2000–2050 changes in ozone pollution using the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis - Health Effects (EPPA-HE) model, in combination with results from the GEOS-Chem global tropospheric chemistry model of climate and chemistry effects of projected future emissions. We use EPPA-HE to assess the human health damages (including mortality and morbidity) caused by ozone pollution, and quantify their economic impacts in sixteen world regions. We compare the costs of ozone pollution under scenarios with 2000 and 2050 ozone precursor and greenhouse gas emissions (using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B scenario). We estimate that health costs due to global ozone pollution above pre-industrial levels by 2050 will be $580 billion (year 2000$) and that mortalities from acute exposure will exceed 2 million. We find that previous methodologies underestimate costs of air pollution by more than a third because they do not take into account the long-term, compounding effects of health costs. The economic effects of emissions changes far exceed the influence of climate alone. United States. Dept. of Energy (Office of Science (BER) grant DE-FG02-94ER61937) United States. Dept. of Energy (Office of Science (BER) grant (BER) grants DE-FG02-93ER61677) United States. Environmental Protection Agency (grant EPA-XA- 83344601-0) Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Joint Program on the Science & Policy of Global Change 2012-08-16T20:43:59Z 2012-08-16T20:43:59Z 2009-12 2009-07 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 1748-9326 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/72178 Selin, N. E. et al. “Global Health and Economic Impacts of Future Ozone Pollution.” Environmental Research Letters 4.4 (2009): 044014. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4579-4815 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5595-0968 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5925-3801 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6396-5622 https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3287-0732 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/4/4/044014 Environmental Research Letters Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/ application/pdf Institute of Physics Publishing IOP |
| spellingShingle | Wu, S. Nam, Kyung-min Paltsev, Sergey Webster, Mort David Selin, Noelle E Reilly, John M Prinn, Ronald G Global health and economic impacts of future ozone pollution |
| title | Global health and economic impacts of future ozone pollution |
| title_full | Global health and economic impacts of future ozone pollution |
| title_fullStr | Global health and economic impacts of future ozone pollution |
| title_full_unstemmed | Global health and economic impacts of future ozone pollution |
| title_short | Global health and economic impacts of future ozone pollution |
| title_sort | global health and economic impacts of future ozone pollution |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/72178 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4579-4815 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5595-0968 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5925-3801 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6396-5622 https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3287-0732 |
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