Collective intelligence in financial markets : does consumer sentiment influence valuation of financial products?

Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, 2012.

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Chekanskiy, Sergey (Sergey Alexandrovich)
Other Authors: Peter Gloor.
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/72872
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author Chekanskiy, Sergey (Sergey Alexandrovich)
author2 Peter Gloor.
author_facet Peter Gloor.
Chekanskiy, Sergey (Sergey Alexandrovich)
author_sort Chekanskiy, Sergey (Sergey Alexandrovich)
collection MIT
description Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, 2012.
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spelling mit-1721.1/728722019-04-12T21:12:16Z Collective intelligence in financial markets : does consumer sentiment influence valuation of financial products? Chekanskiy, Sergey (Sergey Alexandrovich) Peter Gloor. Sloan School of Management. Sloan School of Management. Sloan School of Management. Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, 2012. Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. Includes bibliographical references (p. [36]-37). This paper examines the relationship between the public mood associated with the economies of Italy, Spain and Greece, and prices of Credit Default Swaps on sovereign bonds of aforementioned countries. The effect of the changes in the public mood was measured by Granger causality tests and linear regression models. A price change prediction model was built based on the CART technique. Results of the Granger tests suggest that constructed mood indices convey new and meaningful information about changes in CDS prices. Moreover, the extent to which this is true varies between countries. In the analyzed timeframe, public mood is a much better predictor for Spain than for Italy. Investigation of this difference revealed that there is a strong relationship between the mood associated with Spanish CDS and changes in the Italian CDS prices. This empirical evidence illustrates the spillover effect that troubles in one economy might have on another economy. by Sergey Chekanskiy. S.M. 2012-09-13T18:58:16Z 2012-09-13T18:58:16Z 2012 2012 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/72872 808371996 eng M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 42 p. application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Sloan School of Management.
Chekanskiy, Sergey (Sergey Alexandrovich)
Collective intelligence in financial markets : does consumer sentiment influence valuation of financial products?
title Collective intelligence in financial markets : does consumer sentiment influence valuation of financial products?
title_full Collective intelligence in financial markets : does consumer sentiment influence valuation of financial products?
title_fullStr Collective intelligence in financial markets : does consumer sentiment influence valuation of financial products?
title_full_unstemmed Collective intelligence in financial markets : does consumer sentiment influence valuation of financial products?
title_short Collective intelligence in financial markets : does consumer sentiment influence valuation of financial products?
title_sort collective intelligence in financial markets does consumer sentiment influence valuation of financial products
topic Sloan School of Management.
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/72872
work_keys_str_mv AT chekanskiysergeysergeyalexandrovich collectiveintelligenceinfinancialmarketsdoesconsumersentimentinfluencevaluationoffinancialproducts