Heterogeneity and the dynamics of technology adoption

We estimate the demand for a videocalling technology in the presence of both network effects and heterogeneity. Using a unique dataset from a large multinational firm, we pose and estimate a fully dynamic model of technology adoption. We propose a novel identification strategy based on post-adoptio...

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Main Authors: Ryan, Stephen, Tucker, Catherine Elizabeth
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: Springer-Verlag 2012
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/73195
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1847-4832
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author Ryan, Stephen
Tucker, Catherine Elizabeth
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
Ryan, Stephen
Tucker, Catherine Elizabeth
author_sort Ryan, Stephen
collection MIT
description We estimate the demand for a videocalling technology in the presence of both network effects and heterogeneity. Using a unique dataset from a large multinational firm, we pose and estimate a fully dynamic model of technology adoption. We propose a novel identification strategy based on post-adoption technology usage to disentangle equilibrium beliefs concerning the evolution of the network from observed and unobserved heterogeneity in technology adoption costs and use benefits. We find that employees have significant heterogeneity in both adoption costs and network benefits, and have preferences for diverse networks. Using our estimates, we evaluate a number of counterfactual adoption policies, and find that a policy of strategically targeting the right subtype for initial adoption can lead to a faster-growing and larger network than a policy of uncoordinated or diffuse adoption.
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spelling mit-1721.1/731952022-09-29T15:30:44Z Heterogeneity and the dynamics of technology adoption Ryan, Stephen Tucker, Catherine Elizabeth Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics Sloan School of Management Ryan, Stephen Tucker, Catherine Elizabeth We estimate the demand for a videocalling technology in the presence of both network effects and heterogeneity. Using a unique dataset from a large multinational firm, we pose and estimate a fully dynamic model of technology adoption. We propose a novel identification strategy based on post-adoption technology usage to disentangle equilibrium beliefs concerning the evolution of the network from observed and unobserved heterogeneity in technology adoption costs and use benefits. We find that employees have significant heterogeneity in both adoption costs and network benefits, and have preferences for diverse networks. Using our estimates, we evaluate a number of counterfactual adoption policies, and find that a policy of strategically targeting the right subtype for initial adoption can lead to a faster-growing and larger network than a policy of uncoordinated or diffuse adoption. 2012-09-26T18:45:22Z 2012-09-26T18:45:22Z 2011-08 2009-12 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 1570-7156 1573-711X http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/73195 Ryan, Stephen P., and Catherine Tucker. “Heterogeneity and the Dynamics of Technology Adoption.” Quantitative Marketing and Economics 10.1 (2011): 63–109. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1847-4832 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11129-011-9109-0 Quantitative Marketing and Economics Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/ application/pdf Springer-Verlag MIT web domain
spellingShingle Ryan, Stephen
Tucker, Catherine Elizabeth
Heterogeneity and the dynamics of technology adoption
title Heterogeneity and the dynamics of technology adoption
title_full Heterogeneity and the dynamics of technology adoption
title_fullStr Heterogeneity and the dynamics of technology adoption
title_full_unstemmed Heterogeneity and the dynamics of technology adoption
title_short Heterogeneity and the dynamics of technology adoption
title_sort heterogeneity and the dynamics of technology adoption
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/73195
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1847-4832
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